2024 Wells Fargo Championship, Myrtle Beach Classic betting and DFS picks: Current form, course fit and horses for courses
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2024 Wells Fargo Championship, Myrtle Beach Classic betting and DFS picks: Current form, course fit and horses for courses

A photo of golfer Xander Schauffele WILMINGTON, DELAWARE - AUGUST 21: Xander Schauffele of the United States plays his shot from the seventh tee during the final round of the BMW Championship at Wilmington Country Club on August 21, 2022 in Wilmington, Delaware. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
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Each week, including this week's 2024 Wells Fargo Championship and Myrtle Beach Classic, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.

However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.

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2024 Wells Fargo Championship history and current PGA Tour finish trends

Finish Trends

Recent PGA Tour Trends

We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.

  • Rafael Campos - 2 - T-14 Corales Puntacana, T-9 Byron Nelson
  • Tommy Fleetwood - 2 - T-7 Valero Texas Open, T-3 Masters
  • Ben Griffin - 2 - T-14 Corales Puntacana, T-13 Byron Nelson
  • Russell Henley - 2 - T-4 Valero Texas Open, T-12 Byron Nelson
  • Chan Kim - 2 - T-14 Valero Texas Open, T-6 Corales Puntacana
  • S.H. Kim - 2 - T-14 Valero Texas Open, T-4 Byron Nelson
  • Peter Kuest - 2 - T-10 Valero Texas Open, T-9 Wells Fargo
  • Collin Morikawa - 2 - T-3 Masters, T-9 RBC Heritage
  • Alex Noren - 2 - T-14 Valero Texas Open, 3rd Byron Nelson
  • Taylor Pendrith - 2 - T-11 Corales Puntacana, WIN Byron Nelson
  • Adam Schenk - 3 - T-5 Texas Open, T-12 Masters, T-13 Byron Nelson
  • Alex Smalley - 2 - T-6 Corales Puntacana, T-13 Byron Nelson
  • Kevin Tway - 2 - T-3 Corales Puntacana, T-9 Byron Nelson

Event Finish History

We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the Wells Fargo Championship in the last five years (when it's been at Quail Hollow).

Here are those players:

Course Fits

A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's Wells Fargo Championship.

Fits include:

Jason Day
Sahith Theegala
Alex Noren
Webb Simpson
Adam Hadwin
Sam Burns

Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.

I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.

Also, find this week's model right here.

Good luck this week!

About the author

Ryan Ballengee

Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. He is currently a +2.6 USGA handicap, and he has covered dozens of major championships and professional golf tournaments. He likes writing about golf and making it more accessible by answering the complex questions fans have about the pro game or who want to understand how to play golf better.

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