Each week, including this week's 2025 Masters, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model.
2025 Masters rankings: Top 10
| POS | PLAYER | PTS | DK PRICE | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler, Scottie | 2.949 | 12400 | 450 |
| 2 | McIlroy, Rory | 2.711 | 11100 | 650 |
| 3 | Morikawa, Collin | 1.888 | 10500 | 1400 |
| 4 | DeChambeau, Bryson | 1.884 | 9900 | 1800 |
| 5 | Schauffele, Xander | 1.851 | 9700 | 1800 |
| 6 | Koepka, Brooks | 1.839 | 9400 | 3000 |
| 7 | Matsuyama, Hideki | 1.654 | 9500 | 3000 |
| 8 | Fleetwood, Tommy | 1.648 | 9100 | 3500 |
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| 9 | Lowry, Shane | 1.572 | 8800 | 4000 |
| 10 | Cantlay, Patrick | 1.536 | 8700 | 3500 |
You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.
2025 Masters Tournament: Discord | Tournament Model | Field | Rankings | Horses for Courses | DFS Picks | Betting Odds | One and Done | Course Breakdown | Past Results | Cheat Sheet | Recent Form | Finish Database
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
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2025 Masters history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Corey Conners - 3 - 3rd API, T-6 The Players, T-8 Valspar Championship
- Tommy Fleetwood - 2 - T-11 API, T-14 The Players
- Russell Henley - 2 - T-6 Cognizant Classic, WIN API
- Tom Hoge - 2 - 3rd The Players, T-5 Valero Texas Open
- Michael Kim - 2 - T-6 Cognizant Classic, T-4 API
- Min Woo Lee - 2 - T-11 Cognizant Classic, WIN Houston Open
- Shane Lowry - 3 - T-11 Cognizant Classic, T-7 API, T-8 Valspar Championship
- Robert MacIntyre - 2 - T-11 API, T-9 The Players
- Rory McIlroy - 3 - T-15 API, WIN The Players, T-5 Houston Open
- Collin Morikawa - 2 - 2nd API, T-10 The Players
- Aaron Rai - 2 - T-11 API, T-14 The Players
- Scottie Scheffler - 2 - T-11 API, 2nd Houston Open
- JJ Spaun - 2 - 2nd Cognizant Classic, P-2 The Players
- Sepp Straka - 3 - T-11 Cognizant Classic, T-5 API, T-14 The Players
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the Masters in the last three years at Memorial Park.
Here are those players:
- Corey Conners - 3
- Matt Fitzpatrick - 2
- Tommy Fleewood - 2
- Sungjae Im - 2
- Dustin Johnson - 2
- Brooks Koepka - 2
- Hideki Matsuyama - 3
- Rory McIlroy - 2
- Collin Morikawa - 3
- Jon Rahm - 3
- Patrick Reed - 4
- Xander Schauffele - 3
- Scottie Scheffler - 3
- Cam Smith - 4
- Jordan Spieth - 2
- Justin Thomas - 2
- Cameron Young - 2
- Will Zalatoris - 3
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's Masters.
Here's the breakdown:
Putting: 19%
Tee to Green: 81%
Off the Tee: 21%
Approach: 42%
Around the Green: 18%
Potential fits include:
Sergio Garcia
Scottie Scheffler
Justin Thomas
Collin Morikawa
Hideki Matsuyama
Michael Kim
Viktor Hovland
Bubba Watson
Shane Lowry
Charl Schwartzel
Will Zalatoris
Tom Kim
Taylor Pendrith
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Good luck this week!
