Each week, including this week's 2024 Memorial Tournament, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
FALL GNN MEMBERSHIP SPECIAL: Join now and get 2 years for the price of 18 months OR 3 years for the price of 2 years! Access all our winning tools and analysis, as well as two annual gifts!
GNN Members-Only Tools
- PGA Tour results database
- Cheat Sheet
- PGA Tour top-15 trends
- Short-term model
- Quality Strokes Gained
- Strokes gained by round
- Course fit: Player vs. course
- Course fit: Course comparison
- SG:T2G trends
- SG:T2G variance
- Strokes gained by grass
- Strokes gained by course length
- Strokes gained by par
2024 Memorial Tournament history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Byeong Hun An - 2 - T-4 Byron Nelson, T-3 Wells Fargo Championship
- Sam Burns - 2 - T-13 Wells Fargo Championship, T-10 RBC Canadian Open
- Corey Conners - 2 - T-13 Wells Fargo Championship, T-6 RBC Canadian Open
- Ben Griffin - 2 - T-13 Byron Nelson, 2nd RBC Canadian Open
- Lee Hodges - 2 - T-12 PGA Championship, T-12 Colonial
- Mackenzie Hughes - 2 - T-6 Wells Fargo Championship, T-7 RBC Canadian Open
- Sungjae Im - 2 - T-4 Wells Fargo Championship, T-9 Colonial
- Rory McIlroy - 3 - WIN Wells Fargo Chapionship, T-12 PGA Championship, T-4 RBC Canadian Open
- Collin Morikawa - 2 - T-4 PGA Championship, T-4 Colonial
- Alex Noren - 2 - T-3 Byron Nelson, T-12 PGA Championship
- Taylor Pendrith - 2 - WIN Byron Nelson, T-10 Wells Fargo Championship
- Xander Schauffele - 2 - 2nd Wells Fargo Championship, WIN PGA Championship
- Scottie Scheffler - 2 - T-8 PGA Championship, 2nd Colonial
- Sepp Straka - 2 - T-8 Wells Fargo Championship, 5th Colonial
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the Memorial Tournament in the last five years.
Here are those players:
- Matt Fitzpatrick - 2
- Rickie Fowler - 3
- Max Homa - 2
- Billy Horschel - 3
- Si Woo Kim - 3
- Denny McCarthy - 2
- Xander Schauffele - 3
- Scottie Scheffler - 2
- Jordan Spieth - 3
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's Memorial Tournament.
Putting: 30%
Tee to Green: 70%
Off the Tee: 17%
Approach: 36%
Around the Green: 17%
Enter your email address and press Subscribe to sign up!
Some fits include:
Patrick Cantlay
Jordan Spieth
Rickie Fowler
Tommy Fleetwood
Ben Griffin
Tom Detry
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Also, find this week's model right here.
Good luck this week!