2026 The Genesis Invitational betting and PGA Tour DFS picks: Current form, course fit and horses for courses
CMC Fantasy Golf & Golf Betting PGA Tour

2026 The Genesis Invitational betting and PGA Tour DFS picks: Current form, course fit and horses for courses

A photo of golfer Hideki Matsuyama


Each week, including this week's 2026 The Genesis Invitational, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.

Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model.

2026 The Genesis Invitational rankings: Top 10

POS PLAYER PTS DK PRICE ODDS
1 Scheffler, Scottie 3.054 14300 300
2 McIlroy, Rory 2.244 11300 1400
3 Fleetwood, Tommy 2.026 10300 1800
4 Schauffele, Xander 1.498 9800 2000
5 Henley, Russell 1.454 9600 2500
6 Cantlay, Patrick 1.367 9300 2500
7 Straka, Sepp 1.32 7800 4500
8 Morikawa, Collin 1.299 9400 2500
9 Matsuyama, Hideki 1.233 9500 2500
10 Lowry, Shane 1.159 7800 6500

You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.

However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.

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2026 The Genesis Invitational: Field | Tournament Model| Rankings | Betting Odds and First Looks | One and Done | Horses for Courses | DFS Picks | Course Breakdown | Cheat Sheet | Tournament History | Recent Form | Finish Database

2026 The Genesis Invitational history and current PGA Tour finish trends

Finish Trends

Recent PGA Tour Trends

We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.

  • Bridgeman, Jacob - 3 - T-4 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-13 The American Express, T-8 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Cantlay, Patrick - 2 - T-13 The American Express, T-14 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Coody, Pierceson - 3 - T-13 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-2 Farmers Insurance Open, T-10 WM Phoenix Open
  • Fitzpatrick, Matt - 2 - T-9 WM Phoenix Open, T-14 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Gerard, Ryan - 3 - 2nd Sony Open in Hawaii, T-2 The American Express, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open
  • Gotterup, Chris - 2 - WIN Sony Open in Hawaii, WIN WM Phoenix Open
  • Hisatsune, Ryo - 2 - T-10 WM Phoenix Open, T-8 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Hoge, Tom - 2 - T-8 The American Express, T-14 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Kim, Si Woo - 4 - T-11 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-6 The American Express, T-2 Farmers Insurance Open, 3rd WM Phoenix Open
  • Knapp, Jake - 4 - T-11 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-5 Farmers Insurance Open, T-8 WM Phoenix Open, T-8 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Li, Haotong - 2 - T-8 The American Express, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open
  • Matsuyama, Hideki - 4 - T-13 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open, P-2 WM Phoenix Open, T-8 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • McNealy, Maverick - 2 - T-10 Farmers Insurance Open, T-13 WM Phoenix Open
  • Scheffler, Scottie - 3- WIN The American Express, T-3 WM Phoenix Open, T-4 AT&T Pebble Beach
  • Theegala, Sahith - 2 - T-8 The American Express, T-7 Farmers Insurance Open

Event Finish History

We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the The Genesis Invitational in the last five years at Riviera.

Here are those players:

Course Fits

A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's The Genesis Invitational.

Here's our breakdown:

Putting: 35%
Tee to Green: 65%
Off the Tee: 15%
Approach: 30%
Around the Green: 20%

Some fits include:

Matt Fitzpatrick
Sahith Theegala
Jason Day
Sepp Straka
Andrew Novak

Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.

I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.

Good luck this week!

About the author

Ryan Ballengee

Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. He is currently a +2.6 USGA handicap, and he talks about golf on various social platforms:

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