Each week, including this week's 2024 RBC Canadian Open, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
FALL GNN MEMBERSHIP SPECIAL: Join now and get 2 years for the price of 18 months OR 3 years for the price of 2 years! Access all our winning tools and analysis, as well as two annual gifts!
GNN Members-Only Tools
- PGA Tour results database
- Cheat Sheet
- PGA Tour top-15 trends
- Short-term model
- Quality Strokes Gained
- Strokes gained by round
- Course fit: Player vs. course
- Course fit: Course comparison
- SG:T2G trends
- SG:T2G variance
- Strokes gained by grass
- Strokes gained by course length
- Strokes gained by par
2024 RBC Canadian Open history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Rafael Campos - 2 - T-14 Corales Puntacana, T-9 Byron Nelson
- Ben Griffin - 2 - T-14 Corales Puntacana, T-13 Byron Nelson
- Lee Hodges - 2 - T-12 PGA Championship, T-12 Colonial
- Robert MacIntyre - 2 - T-13 Myrtle Beach Classic, T-8 PGA Championship
- Rory McIlroy - 2 - WIN Wells Fargo Chapionship, T-12 PGA Championship
- Mac Meissner - 2 - T-12 Myrtle Beach Classic, T-5 Colonial
- Alex Noren - 2 - T-3 Byron Nelson, T-12 PGA Championship
- Taylor Pendrith - 2 - T-11 Corales Puntacana, WIN Byron Nelson, T-10 Wells Fargo Championship
- Greyson Sigg - 2 - T-9 Corales Puntacana, T-13 Myrtle Beach Classic
- Alex Smalley - 2 - T-6 Corales Puntacana, T-13 Byron Nelson
- Kevin Tway - 2 - T-3 Corales Puntacana, T-9 Byron Nelson
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the RBC Canadian Open in the last five years, at any venue. Keep in mind that there's only been three years of this event in that span.
Here are those players:
- Adam Hadwin - 2
- Shane Lowry - 2
- Rory McIlroy - 3
- Aaron Rai - 2
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's RBC Canadian Open.
However, since this event moves and the host venue has just been renovated, we're not going to touch fits this week.
Enter your email address and press Subscribe to sign up!
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Also, find this week's model right here.
Good luck this week!