Each week, including this week's 2026 Farmers Insurance Open, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model.
2026 Farmers Insurance Open rankings: Top 10
| POS | PLAYER | PTS | DK PRICE | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schauffele, Xander | 1.959 | 10500 | 1400 |
| 2 | Kim, Si Woo | 1.123 | 9500 | 2500 |
| 3 | Day, Jason | 1.079 | 9600 | 3000 |
| 4 | McNealy, Maverick | 1.056 | 8900 | 3500 |
| 5 | Matsuyama, Hideki | 1.052 | 9300 | 3000 |
| 6 | McCarty, Matt | 1.038 | 7800 | 20000 |
| 7 | Noren, Alex | 1.023 | 8400 | 5000 |
| 8 | Cantlay, Patrick | 1.019 | 10100 | 2500 |
| 9 | Spaun, J.J. | 0.982 | 9400 | 3000 |
| 10 | Young, Cameron | 0.906 | 10000 | 2000 |
You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.
2026 Farmers Insurance Open: Field | Tournament Model| Rankings | Betting Odds and First Looks | One and Done | Horses for Courses | DFS Picks | Course Breakdowns | Cheat Sheet | Tournament History | Recent Form | Finish Database
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
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2026 Farmers Insurance Open history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Coody, Pierceson - 2 - T-3 Bank of Utah Championship, T-13 Sony Open in Hawaii
- Echavarria, Nico - 2 - T-14 WWT Championship, T-4 The RSM Classic
- Ford, David - 2 - T-3 Bank of Utah Championship, T-13 The American Express
- Gerard, Ryan - 2 - 2nd Sony Open in Hawaii, T-2 The American Express
- Ghim, Doug - 2 - T-13 Bermuda Championship, T-7 The RSM Classic
- Hodges, Lee - 2 - T-4 The RSM Classic, T-6 Sony Open in Hawaii
- Kim, Si Woo - 3 - T-4 The RSM Classic, T-11 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-6 The American Express
- McCarty, Matt - 2 - T-3 Bank of Utah Championship, T-2 The American Express
- McGreevy, Max - 3 - T-11 Bank of Utah Championship, T-3 Bermuda Championship, 2nd The RSM Classic
- Olesen, Thorbjorn - 2 - T-3 Bank of Utah Championship, T-14 WWT Championship
- Power, Seamus - 2 - T-11 Bermuda Championship, T-7 The RSM Classic
- Rodgers, Patrick - 3 - T-6 WWT Championship, T-7 The RSM Classic, T-3 Sony Open in Hawaii
- Stevens, Sam - 2 - T-7 The RSM Classic, T-6 The American Express
- Suber, Jackson - 2 - T-15 Bank of Utah Championship, T-11 WWT Championship
- Svensson, Jesper - 2 - T-15 Bank of Utah Championship, T-13 Bermuda Championship
- Valimaki, Sami - 2 - 2nd WWT Championship, WIN The RSM Classic
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the Farmers Insurance Open in the last five years.
Here are those players:
- Bradley, Keegan - 2
- Day, Jason - 2
- Finau, Tony - 3
- Griffin, Lanto - 2
- Homa, Max - 2
- Hossler, Beau - 2
- Im, Sungjae - 3
- Matsuyama, Hideki - 2
- Pendrith, Taylor - 2
- Ryder, Sam - 2
- Schauffele, Xander - 3
- Stevens, Sam - 2
- Zalatoris, Will - 3
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's Farmers Insurance Open.
Despite the two-course lineup this week, three rounds are on the South Course, so we'll fit to that. Here's the South Course breakdown:
Putting: 36%
Tee to Green: 64%
Off the Tee: 14%
Approach: 36%
Around the Green: 14%
Some fits include:
Sahith Theegala
Jason Day
Eric Cole
Cameron Young
Stephan Jaeger
Seamus Power
Andrew Novak
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Good luck this week!
