Each week, including this week's 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model.
2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am rankings: Top 10
| POS | PLAYER | PTS | DK PRICE | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler, Scottie | 2.523 | 11900 | 550 |
| 2 | Matsuyama, Hideki | 1.631 | 9600 | 2200 |
| 3 | Cantlay, Patrick | 1.449 | 9400 | 1800 |
| 4 | Clark, Wyndham | 1.406 | 8600 | 6500 |
| 5 | Morikawa, Collin | 1.335 | 10200 | 1500 |
| 6 | Im, Sungjae | 1.311 | 9000 | 2500 |
| 7 | McIlroy, Rory | 1.3 | 10700 | 1300 |
| 8 | MacIntyre, Robert | 1.244 | 7700 | 7000 |
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| 9 | Aberg, Ludvig | 1.196 | 9900 | 2200 |
| 10 | Thomas, Justin | 1.124 | 9800 | 1600 |
You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
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2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Keegan Bradley - 3 - T-15 The Sentry, T-6 Sony Open, T-15 Farmers Insurance Open
- Patrick Cantlay - 2 - T-15 The Sentry, T-5 The AmEx
- Eric Cole - 2 - T-15 The RSM Classic, T-5 Sony Open
- Thomas Detry - 2 - T-5 The Sentry, T-15 Farmers Insurance Open
- Nico Echavarria - 2 - T-2 The RSM Classic, P-2 Sony Open
- Ben Griffin - 2 - T-15 The RSM Classic, T-7 The AmEx
- Harry Hall - 2 - T-8 The Sentry, T-10 Sony Open
- Lee Hodges - 3 - T-5 The RSM Classic, T-10 Sony Open, T-9 Farmers Insurance Open
- Beau Hossler - 2 - T-12 The AmEx, T-15 Farmers Insurance Open
- Sungjae Im - 2 - T-3 The Sentry, T-4 Farmers Insurance Open
- Maverick McNealy - 2 - WIN The RSM Classic, T-8 The Sentry
- Taylor Pendrith - 2 - T-13 The Sentry, T-7 Farmers Insurance Open
- J.T. Poston - 2 - T-5 The RSM Classic, T-12 The AmEx
- J.J. Spaun - 2 - T-3 Sony Open, T-15 Farmers Insurance Open
- Sepp Straka - 2 - T-15 The Sentry, WIN The American Express
- Nick Taylor - 2 - WIN Sony Open, T-12 The AmEx
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in the last five years.
Here are those players:
- Patrick Cantlay - 4
- Eric Cole - 2
- Jason Day - 3
- Tom Hoge - 3
- Max Homa - 2
- Beau Hossler - 3
- Denny McCarthy - 2
- Maverick McNealy - 2
- Keith Mitchell - 2
- Justin Rose - 2
- Jordan Spieth - 3
- Nick Taylor - 2
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
This week, we get three rounds on Pebble Beach Golf Links, so course fits make sense.
Here's the breakdown:
Putting: 35%
Tee to Green: 65%
Off the Tee: 16%
Approach: 34%
Around the Green: 15%
Potential fits include:
Keith Mitchell
JT Poston
Beau Hossler
Sahith Theegala
Akshay Bhatia
Sam Burns
Brian Harman
Eric Cole
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Good luck this week!
