2025 Sony Open in Hawaii betting and PGA Tour DFS picks: Current form, course fit and horses for courses

Each week, including this week's 2025 Sony Open in Hawaii, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.

Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model. (Last week, Hideki Matsuyama was No. 5.)

2025 Sony Open in Hawaii rankings: Top 10

POS	PLAYER	PTS	DK PRICE	ODDS
1	Matsuyama, Hideki	1.564	11000	1000
2	Conners, Corey	1.066	10200	1600
3	Bradley, Keegan	1.021	9500	2500
4	McNealy, Maverick	0.982	9200	2500
5	Griffin, Ben	0.904	8200	5000
6	Kim, Si Woo	0.848	9000	9000
7	Glover, Lucas	0.822	7300	9000
8	Henley, Russell	0.802	9900	2000

9	Pendrith, Taylor	0.708	8800	4000
10	An, Byeong Hun	0.693	9400	2500

You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.

However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.

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2025 Sony Open in Hawaii history and current PGA Tour finish trends

Finish Trends

Recent PGA Tour Trends

We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.

Jacob Bridgeman - 2 - T-14 WWT Championship, T-12 Bermuda Championship
Eric Cole - 2 - T-6 Zozo Championship, T-15 The RSM Classic
Nico Echavarria - 2 - WIN Zozo Championship, T-6 WWT Championship, T-2 The RSM Classic
Austin Eckroat - 2 - WIN WWT Championship, T-15 The Sentry
Patrick Fishburn - 2 - T-12 WWT Championship, T-8 The RSM Classic
Max Greyserman - 2 - T-2 Zozo Championship, T-14 WWT Championship
Ben Griffin - 2 - 8th Bermuda Championship, T-15 The RSM Classic
Harry Hall - 3 - T-13 Zozo Championship, T-14 WWT Championship, T-8 The Sentry
Joe Highsmith - 2 - T-5 WWT Championship, T-11 The RSM Classic
Michael Kim - 2 - T-13 Zozo Championship, T-11 The RSM Classic
David Lipsky - 2 - T-6 WWT Championship, T-9 Bermuda Championship
Justin Lower - 2 - T-2 WWT Championship, T-5 Bermuda Championship
Maverick McNealy - 2 - T-6 WWT Championship, WIN The RSM Classic, T-8 The Sentry
Vince Whaley - 2 - T-5 Bermuda Championship, T-8 The RSM Classic

Event Finish History

We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the Sony Open in Hawaii in the last five years.

Here are those players:

Ben An - 2
Keegan Bradley - 3
Corey Conners - 3
Russell Henley - 3
Chris Kirk - 2
Patton Kizzire - 2
Matt Kuchar - 2
Peter Malnati - 2
Hideki Matsuyama - 2
Keith Mitchell - 2
Taylor Montgomery - 2
Ryan Palmer - 2
Andrew Putnam - 2
Webb Simpson - 2
Nick Taylor - 3

Course Fits

A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's Sony Open in Hawaii.

The breakdown is:

Putting: 37%
Tee to Green: 63%
Off the Tee: 15%
Approach: 35%
Around the Green: 13%

Some fits include:

Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.

I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.

Good luck this week!