Tour Championship scenarios to win the 2014 FedEx Cup
PGA Tour

Tour Championship scenarios to win the 2014 FedEx Cup


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The 29-player Tour Championship field tees off on Thursday at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. All of them have a mathematical chance to win the FedEx Cup and its $10 million bounty. Here's a look at what has to happen for each player in the field in order to take the FedEx Cup.

No. 1 Chris Kirk
• If he wins the TOUR Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish
• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 2 Billy Horschel
• If he wins the TOUR Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish
• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning



No. 3 Bubba Watson
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 4 Rory McIlroy
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 5 Hunter Mahan
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 6 Jimmy Walker
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-2 or worse
• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 7 Jim Furyk
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 8 Matt Kuchar
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-2* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 9 Rickie Fowler
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 10 Jason Day
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 11 Jordan Spieth
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 12 Adam Scott
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 13 Sergio Garcia
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-7 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 14 Martin Kaymer
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-8 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 15 Zach Johnson
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 9th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 16 Bill Haas
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 9th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 17 John Senden
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 18 Patrick Reed
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-11 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse

No. 19 Cameron Tringale
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-12 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 20 Russell Henley
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 12th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 21 Morgan Hoffmann
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 13th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 22 Webb Simpson
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse
No. 23 Ryan Palmer
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 15th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 24 Kevin Na
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 17th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 25 Geoff Ogilvy
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 19th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes 4th or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 26 Justin Rose
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 21st* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 6th* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes 4th* or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 27 Brendon Todd
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 23rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 28 Hideki Matsuyama
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 25th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 29 Gary Woodland
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 27th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

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About the author

Ryan Ballengee

Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for over a decade, working for NBC Sports, Golf Channel, Yahoo Sports and SB Nation. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. He used to be a good golfer.

Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com

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