2015 FedEx Cup: Scenarios to win the FedEx Cup

# 2015 FedEx Cup: Scenarios to win the FedEx Cup

All 30 players that qualified for the Tour Championship, the 2015 FedEx Cup finale, have a mathematical chance of winning the FedEx Cup and its \$10 million first-place prize.

Naturally, however, some players have a better chance than others. The top five players in the field can win the FedEx Cup outright if they win the Tour Championship. Every player outside of the top five must win the Tour Championship and then have the players ranked above them finish poorly enough that the win is enough to capture the FedEx Cup.

Here, courtesy of the PGA Tour, are the FedEx Cup scenarios for all 30 players in the Tour Championship:

No. 1 - Jason Day
• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-five finish
• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 2 - Jordan Spieth
• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish
• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 3 - Rickie Fowler
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 4 - Henrik Stenson
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 5 - Bubba Watson
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 6 - Zach Johnson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes T-2 or worse
• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 7 - Dustin Johnson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 8 - Charley Hoffman
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-2* or worse
• No. 3 finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 9 - Daniel Berger
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 2 finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 4 finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 10 - Patrick Reed
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 5th or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 5 finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 11 - Rory McIlroy
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• Matt Kuchar (No. 5) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 12 - Justin Rose
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 13 - Jimmy Walker
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes T-7 or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 14 - Robert Streb
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes T-8 or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 15 - Hideki Matsuyama
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 9th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-4* or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 16 - Jim Furyk
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 9th or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 17 - J.B. Holmes
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 18 - Kevin Kisner
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes T-11 or worse
• No. 2 finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse

No. 19 - Danny Lee
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes T-12 or worse
• No. 2 finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 20 - Scott Piercy
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 12th or worse
• No. 2 finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 21 - Matt Kuchar
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 13th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes 5th* or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 22 - Paul Casey
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 23 - Brandt Snedeker
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 15th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 24 - Steven Bowditch
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 17th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 25 - Brooks Koepka
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 19th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 finishes 4th or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
•No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 26 - Bill Haas
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 21st* or worse
• No. 2 finishes 6th* or worse
• No. 3 finishes 4th* or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 27 - Kevin Na
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 23rd* or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 28 - Sangmoon Bae
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 25th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 29 - Louis Oosthuizen
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 27th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

No. 30 - Harris English
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 29th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

*Tie for the FedExCup