2020 Bermuda Championship DraftKings daily fantasy golf picks
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2020 Bermuda Championship DraftKings daily fantasy golf picks



Each week, including this week’s 2020 Bermuda Championship, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.

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2020 Bermuda Championship DraftKings picks

Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.

Finish Trends

Recent PGA Tour Trends

We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.

  • Harris English – 2 – T-4 US Open, T-10 CJ Cup
  • Viktor Hovland – 2 – T-13 US Open, T-12 CJ Cup
  • Adam Long – 2 – T-13 US Open, T-5 Corales Puntacana
  • Joaquin Niemann – 2 – T-13 Shriners Open, T-6 CJ Cup
  • Xander Schauffele – 2 – 5th US Open, 2nd CJ Cup
  • Matthew Wolff – 2 – 2nd US Open, P-2 Shriners Open

Event Finish History

We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We only have one year of this event, so that’s not particularly helpful this week, but here’s the top 15 and ties from last year.

  • 1. Brendon Todd
  • 2. Harry Higgs
  • T3. Hank Lebioda
  • T3. Aaron Wise
  • T3. Scottie Scheffler
  • T3. Brian Gay
  • 7. Fabian Gomez
  • T8. David Hearn
  • T8. Wes Roach
  • T8. Ryan Armour
  • T11. Josh Teater
  • T11. Shawn Stefani
  • T11. Russell Knox
  • T11. Bo Hoag
  • T15. Alexander Noren
  • T15. Denny McCarthy
  • T15. Kramer Hickok

Course Fits

It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.

However, with no strokes gained for this event last year, we can’t model it.

Strokes Gained T2G Trends

It’s important when looking at current form to see which players are overperforming and underperforming their long-term trends (last 50 tournaments) compared to short-term trends (last 10 tournaments).

Here are the overperformers:

  • Ledesma, Nelson: 1.91
  • Barnes, Ricky: 1.816
  • Kim, Michael: 1.346
  • Suh, Justin: 1.295
  • Ghim, Doug: 1.229
  • Malnati, Peter: 1.188
  • McCarthy, Denny: 0.893
  • Tway, Kevin: 0.887
  • Anderson, Mark: 0.879
  • Redman, Doc: 0.829

Here are the underperformers:

  • Wagner, Johnson: -2.525
  • Stefani, Shawn: -2.323
  • Uihlein, Peter: -1.802
  • Streb, Robert: -1.778
  • Stadler, Kevin: -1.77
  • Homa, Max: -1.656
  • Sucher, Zack: -1.578
  • Willett, Danny: -1.56
  • Gibson, Rhein: -1.556
  • Cejka, Alex: -1.491

We also have a new tool which looks at SG T2G over the last 30 tournaments and a player’s relative variance, showing you which players are the most consistent from week to week. Check it out!

This week’s model

Check it out here.

Also, we’ve updated our tools comparing players’ strokes gained by course length and par, as well strokes gained putting by grass!

2020 Bermuda Championship DraftKings recommendations

$10,000 and up

We have five players in this group, and I think Zalatoris is worth it. Doc has been overperforming, so he could be worth riding.

$8,000-$9,999

We have 16 players in this group, and this is where we want to make a lineup. Denny, Ventura, Malnati, Norlander, Justin Suh, Mav McNealy, Luke List, Adam Schenk are my guys in this range.

$7,001-$7,999

DraftKings typically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Wesley Bryan, Scott Stallings, Padraig Harrington, Brian Stuard, Doug Ghim, Russell Knox, Stewart Cink and Patrick Rodgers are worth the look.

Below or at $7,000

We’re looking for bargains in this range, and we have a lot of the field in this range. Will Gordon, Chase Seiffert, Camilo Villegas, Cameron Percy.

My Bermuda Championship DraftKings GPP lineup

  1. Kristoffer Ventura – $9,100
  2. Peter Malnati – $9,000
  3. Justin Suh – $8,700
  4. Adam Schenk – $8,100
  5. Scott Stallings – $7,800
  6. Cameron Percy – $7,000
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About the author

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Ryan Ballengee

Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for over a decade, working for NBC Sports, Golf Channel, Yahoo Sports and SB Nation. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. He used to be a good golfer.

Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com

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