Jay’s Plays NFL picks: Week 15 predictions and bettor’s guide
Jay's Plays

Jay’s Plays NFL picks: Week 15 predictions and bettor’s guide


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It was a wild week in the NFL, and it was a wild week for Ernesto the Prediction Iguana as well. He went 4-4, 2-2 in teaser plays, putting the season totals at 45-21 overall, 20-13 in teasers. He won three overs and hit with the Saints (5-1 for us this season), but lost with the Chiefs (4-1 for us), Broncos (0-1), Patriots (7-2) and Texans (1-1).

FAITH THE PREDICTION CAT RETURNS TO THE STARTING LINEUP!

It’s time for Ernesto’s annual vacation. He’s off skiing for the next three weeks, so the cats take over. Heading up the squad is Faith the Prediction Cat. Don’t be fooled by that sweet smile! In her two years of relief appearances for Ernesto she’s gone 39-11 overall, 16-9 in teasers. She’s joined by Torrey the Prediction Cat, making his first appearance in this series as AWITP and GNN research assistant.



So here’s this week’s winners before they happen. As always, we do 2-team teasers here, so we can move the line six points either way. We use the lines from Vegas Insider, HOME TEAM IN CAPS.

AFC CENTRAL…ERR…NORTH!

Patriots (-3) at STEELERS
RAVENS (-2) vs. Buccaneers

The reeling, bumbling, Scooby-Doo villainish Steelers – who damn well could have won all three of their last games if it weren’t for those meddling kids! – have to face a furious Belichick. The Steelers' Swiss-cheese secondary will get shredded for 600 yards.

Meanwhile the Ravens will take the top spot in the division by topping the Bucs in a squeaker. The Ravens will finish, and the Steelers can’t. Time for Keith Butler to go.

ROAD DOGS!

Saints (-0.5) at PANTHERS
Dolphins (+14) at VIKINGS

The Saints started slowly last week but poured it on as the game progressed. The Panthers defense is down this year, and weak secondary and poor tackling are the problems. Meanwhile the Dolphins and Vikings are headed in opposite directions. One caveat: Miami frequently lays eggs on the road, but 14 points is a solid number.

BIG BATTALIONS!

CHIEFS (+2.5) vs. Chargers
VIKINGS-Dolphins OVER 38.5

38.5 is just a little too low for two solid offenses, especially matched up against two questionable and inconsistent defenses. Meanwhile, the Chiefs defense will make San Die, er, I mean Los Angeles look like Same Old Chargers.

BONUS!

STEELERS-Patriots OVER 43.5
BENGALS-Raiders UNDER 54

Defense? What defense? I don’t know whose is worse! (Unless Artie Burns is on the field, then no question: Pittsburgh is worse. He should be selling beer in the stands.) In Cincinnati, the Bengals will struggle without Andy Dalton, and the Raiders struggle all the time (except against the Steelers). I don’t see seven or eight touchdowns combined, especially if the weather turns ugly.

About the author

Jay Flemma

Jay Flemma

Starting with a blog and a dream, Jay Flemma launched his first sports-writing website in 2004. Some 13 years and 25 major golf championships later, Jay has won multiple national sports writing awards. Besides GNN, his work has appeared in numerous books as well as on-line at Cybergolf, PGA.com, GolfObserver, GolfChannel.com and many other sites and print magazines. When not trying to find a lost golf ball, Jay is an entertainment, copyright, Internet, sports and trademark lawyer in Manhattan. His clients have been nominated for Grammy and Emmy awards, won a Sundance Film Festival Best Director award, performed on stage and screen, and designed pop art for museums and collectors. Jay lives in Forest Hills, N.Y., and is fiercely loyal to his alma maters, Deerfield Academy in Massachusetts and Trinity College in Connecticut.