It was a 3-3 week for Ernesto the Prediction Iguana, as he got snake-bitten twice in one game when the Ravens laid an egg against Washington.
Also, what the hell, Cincinnati? That was dismal the way you laid down against the Cowboys. On that note, Hey Dallas: Tony who?
Anyway, here's this week's picks. Cash 'em in. Home team in CAPS. All lines from vegasinsider.com. We do teasers here; mix and match as you like.
PATRIOTS (-0.5) vs. Bengals
Brady's first home game since the Deflategate suspension will be a wide-open shootout. The Bangles...err...Bengals can't handle a shootout, even with Vontaze Burfect. Look for Adam Jones to take a stupid penalty, get burned deep and go nowhere on kick returns -- a reverse trifecta for a guy long past his sell-by date.
BILLS (-1) vs. 49ers
The Bills will show the continued resurgence of the defense, while the offense will grind out solid, ball control drives. West coast teams don't travel well to east coast venues for 1 p.m. games.
Steelers (-1) at DOLPHINS
The Steelers can have road lapses, and the Fish did beat the Pats in September, but they still seem to be two teams a full level of talent apart. As an aside, can Pittsburgh have Mike Wallace back? Oh wait...he's with the Ravens now...
PACKERS (+0.5) vs. Cowboys
Tough to go against Dallas seeing as how that kid QB is going all Ben Roethlisberger circa 2004 on everyone. But Lambeau in the cold will be unlike anything he's ever seen. Plus the Packers handled the Giants rather easily.
Falcons (+12) at SEAHAWKS
Seattle is so loud and disruptive on a visiting offense, but Matty Ice getting 12 points is too tasty to leave on the board.
BILLS-Rams UNDER 52.5
Again, the Buffalo defense should corral the Rams, while the Buffalo offense is competent, but not explosive.