Jay’s Plays NFL Picks: 2016 conference championship betting picks, lines
Jay's Plays

Jay’s Plays NFL Picks: 2016 conference championship betting picks, lines


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It was a perfect 4-0 weekend (2-0 in teasers) for Ernesto the Prediction Iguana, bringing the playoff totals to 7-1, 3-1 in teasers.

ERNESTO WENT A PERFECT 4-0 LAST WEEK. HE'S 7-1 OVERALL IN THE PLAYOFFS
ERNESTO WENT A PERFECT 4-0 LAST WEEK. HE'S 7-1 OVERALL IN THE PLAYOFFS

We’ll write more about it this week, but the curtain will likely come down on Peyton Manning’s long and stellar career next week after the Patriots go into Mile High and rout the Broncos. Meanwhile two teams that are far from NFL royalty – the Panthers and the Cardinals will clash in the NFC Championship.



Note:

  • We use lines from vegasinsider.com.
  • All picks are based on a 2-team teaser, which moves the line six points either way.
  • HOME TEAM in CAPS.

GREEN LIGHT!

Patriots (+2.5) at BRONCOS

The Broncos should start Brock Osweiler. The kid was solid in relief of Manning, while Manning lacks the laser-beam arm strength and accuracy of his youth. Denver needed a fumble by the Steelers' fourth-string running back in order to escape with a win Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Patriots welcomed back two of their most dangerous weapons in Gronk and Edelman.


BRONCOS-Patriots UNDER 50.5

With Manning playing hit-or-miss football and the possibility of bad weather in Denver, two good defenses should keep the final score below the seven touchdowns needed to hit this number. It’s not 2006 anymore.

AMBER ALERT!

PANTHERS-Cardinals OVER 41,5

Two high-octane offenses – this should be the shootout, while the AFC game will be the defensive struggle.

PANTHERS (+3) vs. Cardinals

Toughest call on the board: Which team will have the ball last? That’s how this game may go.

Still, Ernesto thinks the Panthers defense gets one more crucial sack or turnover. The extra TD with Arizona is tempting, and you should only lose of the Panthers score a garbage time TD, but the Panthers getting 3 at home is the safer play.

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About the author

Jay Flemma

Jay Flemma

Starting with a blog and a dream, Jay Flemma launched his first sports-writing website in 2004. Some 13 years and 25 major golf championships later, Jay has won multiple national sports writing awards. Besides GNN, his work has appeared in numerous books as well as on-line at Cybergolf, PGA.com, GolfObserver, GolfChannel.com and many other sites and print magazines. When not trying to find a lost golf ball, Jay is an entertainment, copyright, Internet, sports and trademark lawyer in Manhattan. His clients have been nominated for Grammy and Emmy awards, won a Sundance Film Festival Best Director award, performed on stage and screen, and designed pop art for museums and collectors. Jay lives in Forest Hills, N.Y., and is fiercely loyal to his alma maters, Deerfield Academy in Massachusetts and Trinity College in Connecticut.