Each week, including this week's 2026 Waste Management Phoenix Open, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model.
2026 Waste Management Phoenix Open rankings: Top 10
| POS | PLAYER | PTS | DK PRICE | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler, Scottie | 3.378 | 14500 | 240 |
| 2 | Schauffele, Xander | 1.758 | 10500 | 2200 |
| 3 | Straka, Sepp | 1.484 | 7900 | 8000 |
| 4 | Hall, Harry | 1.31 | 8100 | 5000 |
| 5 | Matsuyama, Hideki | 1.245 | 9600 | 2600 |
| 6 | Griffin, Ben | 1.173 | 9500 | 3000 |
| 7 | McNealy, Maverick | 1.165 | 9100 | 3600 |
| 8 | Kim, Si Woo | 1.156 | 9900 | 3000 |
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| 9 | Burns, Sam | 1.082 | 9400 | 2800 |
| 10 | Spaun, J.J. | 0.923 | 9000 | 4500 |
You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
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2026 Waste Management Phoenix Open history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Bridgeman, Jacob - 2 - T-4 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-13 The American Express
- Coody, Pierceson - 2 - T-13 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-2 Farmers Insurance Open
- Gerard, Ryan - 3 - 2nd Sony Open in Hawaii, T-2 The American Express, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open
- Hodges, Lee - 2 - T-4 The RSM Classic, T-6 Sony Open in Hawaii
- Kim, Si Woo - 4 - T-4 The RSM Classic, T-11 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-6 The American Express, T-2 Farmers Insurance Open
- Knapp, Jake - 2 - T-11 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-5 Farmers Insurance Open
- Li, Haotong - 2 - T-8 The American Express, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open
- Matsuyama, Hideki - 2 - T-13 Sony Open in Hawaii, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open
- Novak, Andrew - 2 - T-7 The RSM Classic, T-7 Farmers Insurance Open
- Power, Seamus - 2 - T-7 The RSM Classic, T-11 Farmers Insurance Open
- Rodgers, Patrick - 3 - T-6 WWT Championship, T-7 The RSM Classic, T-3 Sony Open in Hawaii
- Stevens, Sam - 2 - T-7 The RSM Classic, T-6 The American Express
- Theegala, Sahith - 2 - T-8 The American Express, T-7 Farmers Insurance Open
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in the last five years.
Here are those players:
- Burns, Sam - 2
- Fitzpatrick, Matt - 2
- Koepka, Brooks - 2
- McNealy, Maverick - 2
- Moore, Taylor - 2
- Schauffele, Xander - 3
- Scheffler, Scottie - 4
- Spieth, Joradn - 4
- Taylor, Nick - 2
- Theegala, Sahith - 2
- Young, Cameron - 2
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's Waste Management Phoenix Open.
Here's our breakdown:
Putting: 32%
Tee to Green: 68%
Off the Tee: 23%
Approach: 31%
Around the Green: 14%
Some fits include:
Brooks Koepka
Jordan Spieth
Ryan Fox
Cameron Young
Sahith Theegala
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Good luck this week!
