Looking for 2017 Quicken Loans National picks, either for betting or fantasy golf games like DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo, Golf Channel or the PGA Tour?
We have your 2017 Quicken Loans National rankings and expert picks, as we do each week of the PGA Tour season.
The Quicken Loans National is here, and it’s the D.C. area’s PGA Tour stop. It’s been stuck in a tough date for a few years, but some solid players in Rickie Fowler, Justin Thomas and Patrick Reed have signed up to take on first-time tournament host TPC Potomac (formerly TPC Avenel). It’s a different track in a lot of ways than Congressional, just down the street.
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2017 Quicken Loans National rankings: Top 10 picks
1. Rickie Fowler – Richard hits a nice fade that should really some in handy on this golf course. He’s been playing well of late, just needs a little push on Sundays to finish one off.
2. Patrick Reed – I have to rank Reed highly despite the fact that his power draw really isn’t ideal at TPC Potomac. That said, T-5 last week and he’s been on a solid, not great, run since April.
3. Justin Thomas – Again, this is a pick based on pure ability rather than necessarily being a good fit. If he’s wild off the tee here, he’s in trouble, like at TPC River Highlands.
4. Brendan Steele – Steele is just raking in the bucks this year. He hasn’t missed a cut, and he continues to play strong, top-20 caliber golf.
5. Marc Leishman – Leishman has almost won this event at other venues, and he had yet another good showing in Hartford, which is pretty much expected. He loves this time of year.
6. Bill Haas – Haas is a past winner in this event, and he’s been playing well of late overall. I don’t love his game off the tee, but the step he took at the US Open is worth noting (and weighting).
7. Boo Weekley – I was shocked to know Boo Weekley is top 15 in the PGA Tour in strokes gained off the tee; impressive for a guy who doesn’t hit the ball really far. Tricky, small putting surfaces here come right up his alley.
8. Billy Horschel – Horschel’s a little erratic, but, of late, being erratci has meant a win and a T-4 in Memphis. He’s not a lock pick for your lineups, but a gamble with a lot of potential upside.
9. Kevin Chappell – This is a ballstriker’s golf course, even though the greens are tricky (because they’re tricky and unknown for everyone). That’s Kevin Chappell, who did very nicely at the U.S. Open.
10. Billy Hurley III – BH3 loves the local event, at least in terms of performance. He’s not a lock in the D.C. area, but he’s typically strong. Had been on a really nice run heading into Memorial, so the form’s not far off.
My DraftKings lineup for this week:
- Rickie Fowler – $12,000
- Brendan Steele – $8,900
- Kyle Stanley – $7,600
- Boo Weekley – $7,600
- Charles Howell III – $7,000
- Adam Hadwin – $6,900
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GNN Plus Research and Analysis
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
- Bill Haas – 2 – T-12 Colonial, T-5 US Open
- Brendan Steele – 2 – T-13 US Open, T-14 Travelers Championship
- Danny Lee – 2 – T-6 Colonial, T-3 Travelers Championship
- David Hearn – 2 – T-10 FedEx St. Jude, T-8 Travelers Championship
- David Lingmerth – 2 – T-12 Colonial, T-15 Memorial
- Justin Thomas – 2 – T-4 Memorial, T-9 US Open
- Kevin Streelman – 2 – T-13 Memorial, T-8 Travelers Championship
- Patrick Reed – 2 – T-13 US Open, T-5 Travelers Championship
- Rickie Fowler – 2 – 2nd Memorial, T-5 US Open
- Xander Schauffele – 2 – T-5 US Open, T-14 Travelers Championship
Event Finish History
Here are the players who finished in the top 15 at this event multiple times in the last five years:
- Bill Haas – 3
- Billy Hurley III – 3
- Charles Howell III – 2
- Chris Kirk – 2
- Justin Thomas – 2
- Kevin Streelman – 2
- Nick Watney – 2
- Rickie Fowler – 2
- Robert Garrigus – 3
DraftKings salaries change from week to week, depending on field strength and size, as well a player’s recent record and their history on a course. It’s in looking at how a salary changes over time that we might get some clues as to players that could be a little overrated or underrated.
Here’s the list of players in the field playing $1,250 over their 2016-17 average salary (ranked least to most over average salary):
- Ollie Schniederjans
- Keegan Bradley
- Bill Haas
- David Hearn
- Kevin Chappell
- David Lingmerth
- J.B. Holmes
- Xander Schauffele
- Patrick Reed
- Marc Leishman
- Rickie Fowler
Here are the players playing this week with multiple top-15 finishes in the last five PGA Tour events that are playing BELOW their average salary from the 2016-17 season:
- Kevin Streelman (by $6)
Success at TPC Potomac
TPC Potomac is a golf course that could get torn up by these guys, with the rough down even slightly. The back nine is strong, with plenty of scoring opportunities, but they almost all come on abnormally shaped or small green complexes. The drives are key on this course as they set up everything else. Players can’t just bang it around and expect to recover easily. Putting is key on these tricky greens, but they’ll be foreign for everyone, so the skill is somewhat mitigated.