Each week, including this week’s 2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic preview
The PGA Tour is back in Mexico for the second time this year, with the Mayakoba Golf Classic serving as the next-to-last event of the fall portion of the 2019-2020 PGA Tour schedule. El Camaleon Golf Club is again hosting, with the Greg Norman design typically yielding decently low winning scores.
Matt Kuchar is defending champion, with a field highlighted by Tony Finau and Jason Day. A variety of young guns who have played well this fall are favored, too, with Viktor Hovland the betting favorite this week.
UPDATE: With Thursday play completely wiped out due to rain, there’s a decent chance of a Monday finish and ball-in-hand play when the tournament officially starts on Friday. The tee time waves will remain the same, but the schedule will change, making tournament entries more difficult in which to have confidence.
2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
- Abraham Ancer – 2 – T-4 Shriners Open, T-4 WGC-HSBC Champions
- Denny McCarthy – 3 – T-15 Shriners Open, T-15 Bermuda Championship, T-9 Houston Open
- Scott Piercy – 2 – T-10 Shriners Open, T-5 CJ Cup
- JJ Spaun – 2 – T-10 CJ Cup, T-15 Shriners Open
- Aaron Wise – 2 – 3rd Bermuda Championship, T-15 Shriners Open
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. Here are players with multiple top-10 finishes in this event in the last five years it was played.
- Keegan Bradley – 2
- Scott Brown – 2
- Brice Garnett – 2
- Emiliano Grillo – 3
- Charles Howell III – 2
- Russell Knox – 3
- Anirban Lahiri – 2
- Pat Perez – 2
- Scott Piercy – 2
- Chez Reavie – 2
- Patrick Rodgers – 2
- JJ Spaun – 2
- Harold Varner III – 2
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
Unfortunately, we’re flying somewhat in the dark. The PGA Tour does not and will not offer Shotlink data for these tournaments outside of the United States.
2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have five players in this group, and I think your best plays are Viktor Hovland and Tony Finau. Joaquin Niemann isn’t a bad choice, but he seems on the downtrend.
We have 18 players in this group, and this is where we typically want to center our team. Scottie Scheffler, CH3, Russell Knox, Abe Ancer, Denny McCarthy, Emiliano Grillo, Keegan Bradley and Danny Lee are names I like.
DraftKings typically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Rory Sabbatini loves this event. Pat Perez plays well here. Scott Piercy is on a good run. Harry Higgs has showed signs of figuring it out on the PGA Tour.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range who might finish in the top 10. Keep loving Scott Harrington. Patrick Rodgers is a horse-for-course kinda guy.