Each week, including this week’s 2019 CJ Cup at Nine Bridges, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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2019 CJ Cup at Nine Bridges preview
First of all, apologies for last week. I was on a 10-day travel run, and I expected to have ample time to get my fantasy picks out to you. Unfortunately, a packed docket every day left me little (if any) time to sit down and offer thoughtful analysis.
In truth, however, I would have vehemently suggested not playing DFS last week. With a field effectively the same as a Korn Ferry Tour Finals events, it was quite a crapshoot after the most consistent grads.
Now, we have the PGA Tour heading to Asia for a three-event swing of no-cut events beginning with the CJ Cup in South Korea. The Jeju Island Club at Nine Bridges is a fascinating venue that has turned out two great winners in Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka.
2019 CJ Cup at Nine Bridges DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. Here are players with multiple top-10 finishes in this event in the last two years it was played.
- Rafa Cabrera Bello
- Jason Day
- Pat Perez
- Ian Poulter
- Cameron Smith
- Chez Reavie
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
Unfortunately, we’re flying somewhat in the dark in the next three events. The PGA Tour does not and will not offer Shotlink data for these tournaments. That means we can’t really dig in the weeds.
2019 CJ Cup at Nine Bridges DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have seven players in this group, and I think your best plays are going big with JT or Brooks and trying to feel out from there. Love Hovland, but he’s expensive at $10,500.
We have 18 players in this group, and this is where we typically want to center our team. Sungjae Im, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Marc Leishman, Cam Smith and Danny Willett are guys I love here. Kevin Na doesn’t have a great record in the event but has plenty of motivation to improve that. Tyrrell Hatton has been playing well of late.
DraftKings typically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. I like Ian Poulter, Charles Howell III, Pat Perez and Emiliano Grillo.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range who might finish in the top 10. Gotta take Jazz Janewattananond. Keith Mitchell could be a powerhouse of intrigue. Troy Merritt is your super-cheap filler.
My primary CJ Cup at Nine Bridges DraftKings lineup
- Sungjae Im – $9,700
- Cameron Smith – $9,000
- Danny Willett – $8,900
- Kevin Na – $8,600
- Jazz Janewattananond – $7,000
- Adam Long – $6,700