Each week, including this week’s 2019 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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2019 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open preview
What a powerful win last week for Cameron Champ at the Safeway Open. With his family by his side as his grandfather is in hospice care at his family’s Sacramento home, Champ turned in an incredible, inspiring and heart-breaking performance.
This week, the PGA Tour moves to Las Vegas for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. The event has its best-ever field, with some 20 of the world top 50 competing. Bryson DeChambeau won last year, and Patrick Cantlay has gone 1-2 the last two years.
2019 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events (without starting strokes) and the Korn Ferry Tour finals, if needed.
- Patrick Cantlay – 2 – T-12 The Northern Trust, 2nd BMW Championship
- Adam Scott – 2 – T-5 The Northern Trust, T-9 BMW Championship
- Brandt Snedeker – 2 – T-6 The Northern Trust, T-5 BMW Championship
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. Here are players with multiple top-10 finishes in this event in the last five years it was played.
- Patrick Cantlay – 2
- Bryson DeChambeau – 2
- Lucas Glover – 2
- Chesson Hadley – 2
- Patton Kizzire – 2
- Brooks Koepka – 2
- Scott Piercy – 2
- Webb Simpson – 2
- JJ Spaun – 2
- Aaron Wise – 2
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
Here’s the breakout:
Tee to Green: 69%
Off the Tee: 17%
Around the Green: 18%
Some fits include:
2019 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have five players in this group, and I think your best plays are Simpson and Scott, but Cantlay clearly likes this event. He’s just too expensive.
We have 19 players in this group, and this is where we typically want to center our team until DraftKings figures out pricing a little better. I like Tony Finau, Collin Morikawa, Brandt Snedeker, Ben An, Scottie Scheffler, Lucas Glover (horse for course), Jason Kokrak and Andrew Putnam.
DraftKings typically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. I like Scott Piercy and Brian Harman, as well Kevin Na and Rory Sabbatini. Kevin Streelman and Nick Watney are worth a look. Chesson Hadley likes this event.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range who might finish in the top 10. Denny McCarthy continues playing well. Peter Uihlein is playing OK. JJ Spaun is a fit, even if he was awful last week. Sticking with Doc Redman.
- Webb Simpson – $10,200
- Collin Morikawa – $9,500
- Scott Piercy – $7,900
- Kevin Na – $7,700
- Nick Watney – $7,200
- Denny McCarthy – $7,000