Each week, including this week’s 2019 3M Open, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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2019 3M Open preview
The 3M Open marks the PGA Tour’s return to Minnesota, upgrading an existing PGA Tour Champions event to the PGA Tour. This is a relatively weak field in the few weeks players really have to take off between now and The Open. After The Open, there’s a WGC in Memphis and a week before the FedEx Cup playoffs. It’s crunch time.
This should be a course where the players go low, like last week. TPC Twin Cities gets trampled by the PGA Tour Champions guys, and this shouldn’t change with the younger set. The course is of decent length, but it should be scorable for most of the field.
2019 3M Open DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
- Viktor Hovland – 2 – T-12 US Open, T-13 Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Hideki Matsuyama – 2 – T-6 Memorial, T-13 Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Joaquin Niemann – 2 – T-5 Travelers Championship, T-5 Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Wes Roach – 2 – T-11 RBC Canadian Open, T-3 Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Kevin Streelman – 2 – T-4 Memorial, T-15 Travelers Championship
- Cameron Tringale – 2 – T-11 RBC Canadian Open, T-5 Rocket Mortgage Classic
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We look at the last five years to see which players finish in the top 15 multiple times in that stetch. However, we don’t have that this week (like last week), with it being a new event.
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
The 3M Open is played at TPC Twin Cities, a familiar course for PGA Tour Champions players but not for the PGA Tour. And since the Champions don’t keep strokes gained stats, we don’t even have that to work off of this week.
2019 3M Open DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have five players in this group, and I think we’re kinda killing ourselves to go with anyone here. Hideki is a fine pick, but he’s too expensive given this weak field.
We have only 16 players in this group, and this is where we typically want to center our team. Rory Sabbatini could be good, and Joaquin Niemann has found his game again. Sungjae Im is generally strong, but I truly like Kevin Streelman, Charles Howell III and Scott Piercy in this group. Viktor Hovland is a good pick here coming off a T-13, but $9,100 is rich.
DraftKings basically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Cameron Tringale is playing well. I think this might be a Martin Laird kind of course. Denny McCarthy is coming off a cold spell with a good week in Detroit. Matt Wolff at $7,300 may be a must.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range. I think Troy Merritt may like this place and field, and Kyoung-Hoon Lee has a bright future. Martin Piller may be a sneaky pick coming off playing his way back into this field.
My primary DraftKings lineup
- Joaquin Niemann – $9,300
- Kevin Streelman – $8,900
- Scott Piercy – $8,200
- Cameron Tringale – $7,700
- Pat Perez – $7,600
- Matthew Wolff – $7,300