Each week, including this week’s 2019 Travelers Championship, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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2019 Travelers Championship preview
The Travelers Championship is here, and it’s time to get ready for the third major of the year. It feels like a good 20 players could win this thing, and none of them would be all that surprising. This is a deep field on a great golf course.
The fairways are narrow. The rough is thick and deep. The greens are small. It’s going to be a traditional Travelers Championship, so perhaps consider how the PGA Championship played as somewhat of a guide — but on a 400-yard shorter golf course.
2019 Travelers Championship DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
- Patrick Cantlay – 2 – T-3 PGA Championship, WIN Memorial
- Mackenzie Hughes – 2 – T-8 Colonial, T-14 RBC Canadian Open
- Brooks Koepka – 2 – WIN PGA Championship, 2nd US Open
- Chez Reavie – 2 – T-14 PGA Championship, T-3 US Open
- Jordan Spieth – 3 – T-3 PGA Championship, T-8 Colonial, T-7 Memorial
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We look at the last five years to see which players finish in the top 15 multiple times in that stetch.
- Daniel Berger – 2
- Paul Casey – 3
- Brian Harman – 2
- Russell Henley – 2
- Charley Hoffman – 2
- Danny Lee – 2
- Marc Leishman – 2
- Patrick Reed – 2
- Brandt Snedeker – 3
- Brendan Steele – 2
- Kevin Streelman – 2
- Bubba Watson – 2
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
The Travelers Championship is played at TPC River Highlands, which typically gives up low scores throughtout the week. The fairways are fairly tight, but the targets to the greens are even tighter. It’s a classic-style course in many ways.
Tee to Green: 65%
Off the Tee: 21%
Around the Green: 15%
Some fits in February would include:
2019 Travelers Championship DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have five players in this group, and I think we have to lead with Cantlay and Koepka. Others are question marks for various reasons. Molinari may love this course, so he may be the best pick.
We have only 16 players in this group, and this is where we typically want to center our team. Like Casey, Fleetwood, Leishman, Finau, Watson and Brandt Snedeker in the high end. Chez Reavie and Jason Kokrak are great picks.
DraftKings basically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Viktor Hovland is making his pro debut, and I love his chances. Russell Knox and Kevin Kisner are tasty picks, as is CT Pan, who borders on a close fit. Brian Harman is having an off year, but he loves this course. Matt Wolff at $7,300?! Sepp Straka has found something, I think. Danny Lee is a horse-for-course guy.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range. I like Brian Gay and Denny McCarthy.
My primary DraftKings lineup
- Marc Leishman – $9,100
- Bubba Watson – $8,900
- Brandt Snedeker – $8,600
- Viktor Hovland – $7,900
- Russell Knox – $7,700
- Danny Lee – $7,500