At this week's season-ending DP World Tour Championship in Dubai, just two players in the 60-man field can win the season-long Race to Dubai and the $1.25 million bonus that comes with the honor.
Top-ranked Francesco Molinari carries a lead of 1,025,166 points over second-ranked Tommy Fleetwood heading into the no-cut event at Jumeirah Golf Estates' Earth Course. No other player can win the Race to Dubai, though Haotong Li, Lucas Bjerregaard and Rory McIlroy had an opportunity to move closer in South Africa last week at the Nedbank Golf Challenge.
So, the 2018 Race to Dubai scenarios are pretty simple.
For Francesco Molinari, he wins the Race to Dubai if Tommy Fleetwood doesn't win the DP World Tour Championship. Molinari can still win the Race to Dubai if Fleetwood wins this week, but he would have to finish in at least a two-way tie for fifth place to assure himself the season-long title regardless of where the Englishman finishes.
Obviously, then, Fleetwood's situation is clear: Only a win will do.
For Fleetwood, he has a 416,244-point lead over Patrick Reed for second place. Justin Rose is third in the Race to Dubai but is not competing this week, so he cannot advance to second in the final standings.