Each week, including this week’s 2018 Sanderson Farms Championship, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
FOR GNN PLUS MEMBERS ONLY!
For as little as $8/year or FREE for 6 months when you take our user survey, GNN Plus members get access to our in-depth weekly DraftKings picks, searchable database of PGA Tour results from 2011-present and top-15 PGA Tour trends.
For $75 per year or $225 for lifetime access, GNN+Forebucks members get even MORE, including our course fit modeling, Quality Stokes Gained data, course demand insights, grass-specific performance and further tools, as well individual access to fantasy expert Ryan Ballengee for your unique questions.
ADDITIONAL TOOLS INCLUDE
- Searchable PGA Tour results
- PGA Tour top-15 finish trends
- Player-course fit modeling
- Strokes gained putting by grass type
- Strokes gained by course length
- Strokes gained by course par
- Course demands breakdown
- Quality Strokes Gained data
To access this research hidden below and MANY more fantasy golf tools, sign up for GNN+Forebucks!
2018 Sanderson Farms Championship preview
The PGA Tour has two events this week, with the Country Club of Jackson in Mississippi hosting the opposite-field Sanderson Farms Championship. The 132-player field features PGA Tour veterans of all kinds but typically stars the Web.com Tour graduates from the regular season and finals.
This course gives off some vibes from the Safeway Open, with tree-lined fairways, some penalty to missing the tee shots and not much scary deterrence to avoid. The winning score will be in the 15- or 20-under range, and guys who have great putting weeks that are typically solid ballstrikers have a propensity to win here. Lots of first-time winners.
2018 Sanderson Farms Championship DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
Event Finish History
Here are the players who finished in the top 15 in this event in the last five years:
- Chris Kirk – 2
- Seung-yul Noh – 2
- Kyle Reifers – 2
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event. (This week, I’d say top 15 finish.)
Of course, current form then informs thinking around these possible course fits. However, in concept, many of these names make some sense and help narrow down a potential list of golfers.
While we don’t get strokes-gained data from overseas events, we do have them for the Sanderson Farms. So that’s a plus. However, we don’t have comprehensive strokes-gained data for this field, as many of them have played but once so far this season and spent much of last year on the Web.com Tour. So, these picks are limited in nature.
Nonetheless, our course fit profile is:
Off the Tee: 18%
Some course fits (with data) could include:
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Bill Haas
- Seung-yul Noh
- J.J. Spaun
- Fabian Gomez
2018 Sanderson Farms Championship DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have four players in this group, and I think they’re all overpriced. However, I love Im in general, and Ryan Armour is defending champion. But I would avoid.
We have 17 players in this group, and I always love building your team in this range. I like Aaron Baddeley, Kevin Streelman, Chris Kirk, Denny McCarthy, Hunter Mahan and Cameron Champ.
DraftKings basically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Nick Taylor could be a huge value this week. Sam Burns has been injured but, if healthy with some weeks off, is a class player. J.T. Poston is a good pick in my view. I love Fabian Gomez as a course fit.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range, but there’s not much to love here. Dylan Meyer made plenty of cuts coming out of Illinois, and he should make his way to the tour full-time soon enough. If you’re going to reach, go with one of: Max Homa, Julian Etulain or Carlos Ortiz.
My primary DraftKings lineup
- Aaron Baddeley – $9,700
- Chris Kirk – $9,000
- Hunter Mahan – $8,200
- Cameron Champ – $8,000
- Nick Taylor – $7,900
- Fabian Gomez – $7,000