Each week, including this week’s 2018 Wyndham Championship, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings Wyndham Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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For as little as $8/year, GNN Plus members get access to our in-depth weekly DraftKings picks, searchable database of Wyndham Tour results from 2011-present and top-15 Wyndham Tour trends.
For $75 per year or $225 for lifetime access, GNN+Forebucks members get even MORE, including our course fit modeling, Quality Stokes Gained data, course demand insights, grass-specific performance and further tools, as well individual access to fantasy expert Ryan Ballengee for your unique questions.
ADDITIONAL TOOLS INCLUDE
- Searchable Wyndham Tour results database — A full database of Wyndham Tour results dating back to 2011, including strokes gained breakouts, money, designers and grass info.
- Wyndham Tour top-15 finish trends — A look at the players who have finished in the top 15 in any of the last five Wyndham Tour events.
- Player-course fit modeling — This one is experimental, but I think it has lots of potential. This tool looks at the breakdown of each player’s Strokes Gained Putting, Approach, Off the Tee and Tee to Green when they finish in the top 25 and compare to the averages in those categories for top 25 finishers at each week’s event. I believe similarities in the breakouts can help clue us in to potential course fits (or horses for courses).
- Player performance comparison — Each player has different strengthes and, therefore, a different path to success, be that finishing in the top 15 or making the cut. So, we compare Strokes Gained Putting, Approach and Off the Tee when each player finishes in those positions to help understand player strengths and weaknesses.
- Strokes gained putting by grass type — Some guys just putt better on Bermudagrass or Bentgrass, the two dominant strains on the Wyndham Tour. Always helps to see specialists on either surface.
- NEW! Strokes gained by course length
- NEW! Strokes gained by course par
- Course demands: Each week, you’ll be able to see the strokes gained breakout — putting, approach, off the tee, tee to green — for each host course compared to the Wyndham Tour as it relates to winners, top-15 finishers and top-30 finishers.
- Top average Quality Strokes Gained for the year: Our Quality Strokes Gained combines strokes gained and strength-of-field figures into a single statistic, so this data shows the players who perform the best against the best competition.
- Top 50 QSG performances of the year: We wanted to help you understand Quality Strokes Gained more broadly, so we have the rolling list of the top 50 QSG performances of the year.
To access this research hidden below and MANY more fantasy golf tools, sign up for GNN Plus
2018 Wyndham Championship preview
We head into the final event of the PGA Tour regular season, with Sedgefield Country Club again hosting the Wyndham Championship in North Carolina. We have a slightly better field than is normal here, with the likes of Sergio Garcia, Shane Lowry, Graeme McDowell and others chasing a playoff berth or looking to hang on to their PGA Tour status at all.
Sedgefield is a go-low kind of course. It’s a Ross, so the greens are the most vexing part, but it’s pretty easy by Tour standards. Just hit it tight and make putts with impunity. You want to go with good iron players above all else this week, as the course is short enough to not require many drivers (if any, really).
2018 Wyndham Championship DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent Wyndham Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual, non-opposite-field, stroke-play Wyndham Tour events.
- Shane Lowry – 2 – T-12 RBC Canadian Open, T-12 PGA Championship
Event Finish History
Here are the players who finished in the top 15 in this event in the last 5 years:
- Matt Every – 2
- Bill Haas – 2
- Scott Langley – 2
- Davis Love III – 2
- Hideki Matsuyama – 2
- William McGirt – 2
- Rory Sabbatini – 2
- Webb Simpson – 4
- Brandt Snedeker – 2
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
Of course, current form then informs thinking around these possible course fits. However, in concept, many of these names make some sense and help narrow down a potential list of golfers.
Looking at Sedgefield Country Club, we see more reliance on putting and approach play than most weeks on the PGA Tour. That’s what we get with a short course with greens that can be torched.
Here’s a breakdown of what we’re looking for this week:
Some players who fit this mold include:
- Jason Dufner
- Rory Sabbatini
- Wesley Bryan
- Henrik Stenson
- Richy Werenski
- Webb Simpson
- Ollie Schniederjans
2018 Wyndham Championship DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have six players in this group, and I think you go with Webb Simpson and take your chances, or you’d be healthier with either Rafa Cabrera-Bello or Shane Lowry.
We have 16 players in this group, and I love building your team in this range. Joaquin Niemann and Billy Horschel are great picks. I like Daniel Berger on this golf course. Harold Varner III and Julian Suri are good picks, too.
I love Ollie Schniederjans and Jason Dufner, as well Kevin Tway.
DraftKings basically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. There are still plenty of good choices in this range.
C.T. Pan is coming along well, so he gets a rare recommendation. Chesson Hadley was a borderline fit because of his approach play. Chris Kirk is playing hot golf. Rory Sabbatini should get a strong look.
Richy Werenski should be a solid play, and I love Sam Ryder. Brian Gay and Ryan Armour are great in the $7,100 range.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range with a threat to top-10.
I will caveat these picks by saying you shouldn’t be in this sandbox this week. It’s asking for disaster. However, Wesley Bryan is a course fit, and Hunter Mahan is intriguing. Denny McCarthy should do well this week.
My primary DraftKings lineup
- Rafa Cabrera-Bello: $10,100
- Harold Varner III: $8,900
- Jason Dufner: $8,400
- Chesson Hadley: $7,600
- Chris Kirk: $7,500
- Rory Sabbatini: $7,400