Jay’s Plays 2017 NFL Picks: Week 7 betting guide
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Jay’s Plays 2017 NFL Picks: Week 7 betting guide

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Ernesto the Prediction Iguana continued his impressive opening to the NFL prognostication season with a 4-2 week, 1-2 in teasers. His only miscues were those pesky Bears -- this time they upended the Ravens in Baltimore -- and the Giants. The Bears may play in the NFC North, but they may want to petition for a change since they could end up metaphoric champions of the AFC North with wins against that division’s two powerhouses, the Ravens and Steelers. The Giants were reeling, but they went into Denver and turned the tables on the poorly prepared Broncos.

That puts the season totals at 10-2 overall, 4-2 in teasers. Here’s this week’s winners before they happen. As always, we do teasers here, so you get to move the line six points in either direction, using lines from Vegas Insider, HOME TEAM IN CAPS.

GREEN LIGHT

Chiefs (+3.5) at RAIDERS
RAMS-Cardinals OVER 41

I think the reason why we’re seeing low over/under totals for the Rams is because people are slow to recognize their suddenly resurgent offense. People just see “Rams” and think they’re still the putrid team from St. Louis. The Chiefs will bounce back against a punchless Raiders offense that badly needs Derek Carr to return to last season’s form.

AMBER ALERT

RAIDERS-Chiefs UNDER 53.5
Panthers (+3) at BEARS

I know the Chiefs are explosive, but 53.5 is a lot of points, and the Raiders need to score touchdowns too to get anywhere near the number. At least six touchdowns between the two teams? That’s a tall order. The Panthers are on the rise, and despite beating Pitt and Balty, I still don’t believe in the Bears.

RED WARNING

Jaguars (+3) at COLTS
Broncos (+3.5) at CHARGERS

Road teams won eight of 14 outright last week, ad are batting over .500 for the season. The Jags are the AFC’s proper rejoinder to the Rams, a formerly hapless loser that righted the ship so far this season. Without a marquis QB at the helm, the Colts aren’t just leaderless, but lost.

About the author

Jay Flemma

Starting with a blog and a dream, Jay Flemma launched his first sports-writing website in 2004. Some 13 years and 25 major golf championships later, Jay has won multiple national sports writing awards. Besides GNN, his work has appeared in numerous books as well as on-line at Cybergolf, PGA.com, GolfObserver, GolfChannel.com and many other sites and print magazines. When not trying to find a lost golf ball, Jay is an entertainment, copyright, Internet, sports and trademark lawyer in Manhattan. His clients have been nominated for Grammy and Emmy awards, won a Sundance Film Festival Best Director award, performed on stage and screen, and designed pop art for museums and collectors. Jay lives in Forest Hills, N.Y., and is fiercely loyal to his alma maters, Deerfield Academy in Massachusetts and Trinity College in Connecticut.