The 60-player 2016 DP World Tour Championship field tees off on Thursday at Jumeirah Golf Estates' Earth Course in Dubai. Only four players have a mathematical chance to win the European Tour's season-long Race to Dubai and its $1.25 million bounty.
Here's a look at the scenarios for each player in the field in order to take the Race to Dubai.
2016 European Tour: DP World Tour Championship scenarios to win the Race to Dubai
Four players can win: No. 1 Henrik Stenson, No. 2 Danny Willett, No. 3 Alex Noren, No. 4 Rory McIlroy
- Stenson is in the driver's seat here, guaranteed to win the Race to Dubai if Willett finishes outside the top four, Noren doesn't finish in the top two and McIlroy doesn't win
- Stenson is in great shape to win a second Race to Dubai title
- Danny Willett will win the Race to Dubai if he wins the DP World Tour Championship, regardless of his rivals’ results
- Willett can also win if finishing runner up AND Alex Noren fails to claim victory and Henrik Stenson falls outside the top two
- Should Willett finish third alone, Stenson needs to finish in the top nine to remain ahead in the standings
- If Willett finishes fourth, Stenson must finish within the top 30 to take the Race to Dubai
- Alex Noren needs a minimum top-two finish
- However, even if he wins in Dubai, Stenson can still take the Race to Dubai title by finishing second
- If Noren finishes second, to win the Race to Dubai he needs Stenson to finish outside the top eight and Willett outside the top two
- For McIlroy to prevail, against all odds, he must win the DP World Tour Championship, Stenson finish outside the top 45, Willett outside the top five and Noren outside the top two