Each week, including this week’s 2020 3M Open, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()]
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2020 3M Open preview
This week represents the weakest PGA Tour field since the restart, with the 3M Open hosting a field of just eight top-50 players in the Twin Cities. There’s an interesting mix of young names and veterans who have been playing well enough in the deeper events that we should like them to star once those guys clear the stage.
2020 3M Open DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events.
- Ryan Armour – 2 – T-6 Travelers Championship, T-4 Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Henrik Norlander – 2 – T-12 Rocket Mortgage Classic, T-6 Memorial
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. Here are players with multiple top-15 finishes in this event in the last five years it was played.
We only have one year of the event, so last year’s top 15 is the list.
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
Here’s our breakdown:
Tee to Green: 77%
Off the Tee: 23%
Around the Green: 9%
Some potential fits include:
2020 3M Open DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have five players in this group, and I think you can look at Finau, and that’s probably it. All are damaged, but Finau is a great course fit and didn’t beat only one guy last week.
We have 15 players in this group, and this is where you really make your team. Glover, Henley, English, Sam Burns and Max Homa. Norlander is on a good run, but difficult to back for three in a row.
DraftKings typically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Will Gordon, Scott Stallings, Alex Noren are all names I like. Ryan Armour is on a good run in the midst of a bad season, so the same question as with Norlander. CH3, Sam Ryder should be good plays. Kristoffer Ventura is a really interesting flier name. Cam Tringale and Denny McCarthy could be great names to get through to the weekend. Will Gordon will not be cheap for long.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range. Keith Mitchell fits the course, but his season hasn’t been good. Harry Higgs has a good chance of getting to the weekend. If you wanna dig deep, Rhein Gibson is a great cut-maker in the mid-$6,000s.
My 3M Open DraftKings lineup
- Lucas Glover – $9,400
- Harris English – $9,000
- Sam Burns – $8,500
- Will Gordon – $7,700
- Alex Noren – $7,500
- Charles Howell III – $7,400