Each week, including this week’s 2019 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship, Golf News Net offers daily fantasy (DFS) golf advice, picks, lineups and tips for DraftKings PGA Tour games, scrutinizing the pricing model and looking for players who will perform best in both guaranteed prize pool (GPP) events and cash games.[s2If !is_user_logged_in()] [/s2If] [s2If is_user_logged_in()]
2019 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship preview
The opposite-field events on the PGA Tour are some of my favorites because the wins mean so much to whoever winds up hoisting the trophy. However, figuring out who that’s going to be is pretty much impossible. There are no good tells. Current form? Nah. Ranking? Nah.
Plenty of randoms win these events because they have a great four days. It’s effectively like the old PGA Tour Q-School, where a guy can catch a four-day heater and win. From a DFS perspective, we have to lean into quality and then take a few leaps of faith.
2019 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship DraftKings picks
Each week, we’ll offer players in 3-5 buckets of pricing so as to offer some mix-and-matching with your lineups based on our recommendations.
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last six individual PGA Tour events.
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We look at the last five years to see which players finish in the top 15 multiple times in that stetch.
- 1. Brice Garnett
- 2. Keith Mitchell
- 3. Kelly Kraft
- 4. Denny McCarthy
- T5. K.J. Choi
- T5. Xinjun Zhang
- T5. Paul Dunne
- T5. Andrew Putnam
- T5. Seungsu Han
- T5. Harris English
- T5. Tom Lovelady
- T5. Seamus Power
- T13. Abraham Ancer
- T13. Joel Dahmen
- T13. Shawn Stefani
- T13. Martin Flores
- T13. George McNeill
- T13. Corey Conners
It seems to me the best way to use Strokes Gained data is to give a sense of a course fit. My working theory is a player is a course fit — or a potential course fit, at least — if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week’s event.
With this being an opposite-field event, there’s no strokes-gained data to use for building a course profile. Besides, we only have one year to go with, so it wouldn’t be of help.
2019 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship DraftKings recommendations
$10,000 and up
We have five players in this group, and I have some problems recommending any of them because of the budget crush. But I think Sungjae Im is your one solid bet in the group.
We have 17 players in this group, and this is where we want to anchor our team. Joaquin Niemann is great, but he’s overpriced. Trey Mullinax is similar, but better on the better. Joel Dahmen is a solid pick. I like Matt Jones and Rory Sabbatini. Jonathan Byrd and Julian Etulain are good value picks.
DraftKings basically breaks the rest of the field in half at the $7,000 mark. Adam Schenk and Brian Stuard are cutmakers. Rafael Campos is doing well playing two tours. Hudson Swafford is the same.
Below or at $7,000
We’re looking for bargains in this range most weeks, but it’s a horror show. Cam Tringale has played well in limited action. Tyler Duncan is making cuts, so that’s a positive here.
My primary DraftKings lineup
- Joaquin Niemann – $9,900
- Joel Dahmen – $9,100
- Rory Sabbatini – $8,800
- Adam Schenk – $7,400
- Brian Stuard – $7,400
- Rafael Campos – $7,300