Jay’s Plays NFL picks: Week 11 bettor’s guide
Jay's Plays

Jay’s Plays NFL picks: Week 11 bettor’s guide

It was another strong 5-1 week (2-1 in teasers) for Ernesto the Prediction Iguana, the undisputed reigning champion of the Animal Sports Prognostication Kingdom. That swells the season totals to a sterling 28-8 overall, 12-6 in teasers! The only loss was the REDSKINS-Vikings as both defenses forgot to show up.

At least we went a week without someone asking if Tom Brady was available for trade...and by the way, who sucks worse: the New York Giants or what’s left of the Grateful Dead? I say the Dead, although after yesterday, it’s a tough call.

Anyway, here’s this week’s winners before they happen. As always, we do teasers here, so you get to move the line six points in either direction, using lines from Vegas Insider, HOME TEAM IN CAPS.



Just a year ago VIKINGS-Rams would have played undercard to a WAC college showdown. Now it’s likely a playoff preview. Winner between these two teams may well host a divisional playoff game and gt a first round bye. Can you say “track meet?” This is a must win for the Cowboys if they have any hope of claiming the division, so they will throw everything they have into the offensive playbook. They’ll need it against a resurgent Eagles team with the best record in the NFL.


DOLPHINS (+3.5) vs. Buccaneers
TEXANS (+8.5) vs. Cardinals

Two up-and-down teas that tends to underwhelm in the Fins and the Texans. Luckily, they’re playing two worse teams coming in to Miami and Houston. The Battle of Florida should be flaccid. The Battle of the Southwest should be a rootin-tootin’ shootout.


Jaguars (-1.5) at BROWNS

The Steelers’ offense isn’t as potent as they think it is. No one turns easy 7s into stupid 3s like they have the last two years. They must get more receivers involved than just JuJu and AB. What happened to the days of five wides? Watch out, because the Titans play Pittsburgh well. Meanwhile, the Jaguars showed their inexperience with the penalty-filled, immature antics that nearly cost them the came against the lowly Chargers. Still, if they lose to Cleveland, Jacksonville fans should tell them, “Don’t come home.”

About the author

Jay Flemma

Jay Flemma

Starting with a blog and a dream, Jay Flemma launched his first sports-writing website in 2004. Some 13 years and 25 major golf championships later, Jay has won multiple national sports writing awards. Besides GNN, his work has appeared in numerous books as well as on-line at Cybergolf, PGA.com, GolfObserver, GolfChannel.com and many other sites and print magazines. When not trying to find a lost golf ball, Jay is an entertainment, copyright, Internet, sports and trademark lawyer in Manhattan. His clients have been nominated for Grammy and Emmy awards, won a Sundance Film Festival Best Director award, performed on stage and screen, and designed pop art for museums and collectors. Jay lives in Forest Hills, N.Y., and is fiercely loyal to his alma maters, Deerfield Academy in Massachusetts and Trinity College in Connecticut.