Daily Fantasy Tee Time: 2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Fantasy Golf PGA Tour

Daily Fantasy Tee Time: 2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The par-3 5th at Pebble Beach (Photo by Joann Dost)

Believe it or not, we are already 10 events into the 2017-18 PGA Tour season, at the last two weeks of the California/Desert swing before heading to Florida. This week we head to Pebble Beach for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am where Jordan Spieth, the defending champion, and the rest of the top 3 of the OWGR (DJ & Rahm) are set to compete. Let’s dive right in!

Tournament Preview

The event was originally known as the Bing Crosby National Pro-Amateur, or just the Crosby Clambake. After Crosby’s death in 1977, the tournament was hosted by his family for eight years. The Crosby name was dropped after the 1985 event, and AT&T became the title sponsor 32 years ago in 1986. It is organized by the Monterey Peninsula Foundation.

This is a full field event consists of 156 players. All of the players will be paired with a Pro-Am partner for the first three rounds and will play in foursomes which will make for some very long rounds. Unlike regular weeks, there are three courses that the players will all visit once, which means that the cut will take place on Saturday. Only the top 60 players and ties will be allowed to play the final round.

Course Preview: Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill, Monterey Peninsula Country Club (Shore Course)

One of the very last multiple course events for quite some time, this week features 3 beautiful, picture esk courses set around the Pacific Ocean, near Carmel CA. They all set up relatively similar in terms of length and their “par” all being a par 72.

Course Specs:

Pebble Beach Golf Links: 6,816 yards, par 72
Spyglass Hill: 6,953 yards, par 72
Monterey Peninsula (Shore): 6,958 yards, par 72

Greens: Poa-annua on all three courses this week and are quite tiny compared to the average green size on tour.

Speed: The green speeds around Pebble can get quite daunting, but normally that’s only for US Opens and such. Still we should expect to see them run about a 12.

All three courses also have four par 5s at it, so there will be plenty of opportunities to score. Last year, Monterey Peninsula was the easiest of the three courses, creating an opportunity for anyone who does score low there, to set the bar. Conversely, if a golfer plays well somewhere else, he could have even more confidence knowing he has to play the easier course, and lastly, if they play BADLY on the Short Course, then that might not bode too well for the other two days.

Now that we’ve set the stage for the tournament, and built a course profile, let’s dive into the field and see what players may be best suited here!

Introduction to DFS golf

If you have not played Daily Fantasy Golf before, then this section will be of utmost importance to you. Some basic DFS info first. Last year alone the two major DFS companies (DraftKings & FanDuel) paid out over $20 million in prizes for golf contests. A sport that has seen significant growth in DFS over the last few years, this is setting up to be the biggest and best year of DFS golf yet.

Now a brief introduction to each of the two Daily Fantasy sites that we will focus our attention on:

DraftKings: The biggest contests can be found here. Some people may think golf is boring to watch, but if you had the chance to win $50,000, it becomes less and less boring. Trust us. The goal is to score as many points as possible by picking six golfers that must fit under a salary cap of $50,000. Each golfer will have an assigned salary, and your team cannot exceed that $50,000 total. The golfers earn you points based on a few different factors:

  1. Finishing position of the tournament: The better the golfer finishes, the more points he receives.
  2. Hole-by-hole scoring: This is where the golfers earn most of the points. Each hole a golfer plays and records a score, that score will go to your DK points: 8 points for an eagle, 3 for a birdie, 0.5 for a par, -0.5 for a bogey and -1 for a double bogey or worse.
  3. Bonuses: DraftKings has some bonus points category that include bogey-free rounds, birdie streaks (a golfer gets 3 or more birdies in a row), all 4 rounds under 60 and a hole-in-one bonus.

FanDuel: Similarly to DraftKings, at FD you pick 6 golfers as well. This time you must stay under the $60,000 salary cap. FanDuel just released golf last year, so their contest sizes are not quite as big as DK yet. Much like with DraftKings, each golfer you choose will receive points based on the criteria:

  1. Finishing position of the tournament: The better the golfer finishes, the more points he receives.
  2. Hole-by-hole scoring: This is where the golfers earn most of the points. Each hole a golfer plays and records a score, that score will go to your FD points: 8 7 points for an eagle, 3.1 for a birdie, .05 for a par, -1 for a bogey and -3 for a double bogey or worse.
  3. Bonuses: FD has their own set of bonus points that include bogey-free rounds, 5 or more birdies in a single round and bounce back (golfer makes a birdie after a bogey).

Golfer salaries are determined by some algorithm each site has created, but basically, is based on odds to win the tournament. The better the odds of the golfer, the higher the salary will be. Now that we have a good knowledge base underway, we can dive a bit more into the process we have at Tour Level when selecting golfers & contests!

DFS golf contest selection: What to enter

Contest selection can be just as important as the golfers you choose to make your lineup. In Daily Fantasy Sports, there are two different types of contests:  cash games (50/50) and guaranteed prize pools (GPP). Each contest will have a different strategy in which golfers to choose, and that’s what we at Tour Level make sure to help you with each week!

Cash Games are contests in which 50% of the people win and 50% of the people lose. You can play in a 50/50 contest with 5,000 people (where 2,500 win) or against just one other person. To start, we recommend playing the one with 5,000 people. Contest buy-ins for 50/50 contests range from $1 all the way up to $10,000.

Guaranteed Prize Pools (GPPs) provide the opportunity to win big, but consequently, lose it all as well. Only about 15-20% of the entries cash in a GPP, and contests buy-ins range from $0.25 to $5,300!

As we mentioned earlier, this week we get the big money contests. Let’s look at what else is on the board:

  • $1 entry “Short Game” - $175,000 guaranteed - This 20-entry max tournament has a $10,000 first-place prize.
  • $4 entry “Drive for Green” - $500,000 guaranteed - This 20-entry max tournament has a $100,000 first-place prize.
  • $33 entry “Dogleg” - $275,000 guaranteed - This 150-entry max tournament has a $25,000 first-place prize.
  • $333 entry “Club Pro” - $300,000 guaranteed - This 30-entry max tournament has a $50,000 first-place prize.
  • $12 entry “Albatross” - $40,000 guaranteed – This single-entry max tournament has a $$4,000 first-place prize. The reason its great for beginners is that everyone is only allowed one entry, no matter your bankroll. There are at total of 3,921 entrants in this contest, and the top 100 cash.

For more information on contest selection and strategy see our DFS-focused article titled “Against the Grain.”

DFS golf strategy

With two different contest types, each has their own unique strategy. In GPPs you are trying to beat 80% of the field just to cash, where in cash games you only need to beat 50% of the field. To beat 80% of the field you need to have golfers that nobody else has in their lineup, and those golfers must perform well. With cash games you only need to beat 50% of the field, so you want to be more conservative and choose the “safe” golfers to ensure you have golfers playing the weekend! Below we will highlight our top plays from each type of contest! This week will we focus on just DraftKings players.

Cash Games:The goal is to focus on players that are deemed “safe” and also give you the ability to have plenty of salary flexibility to make sure all of the golfers you choose are of quality.

  • Patrick Cantlay ($8,900) -- Patrick Cantlay finished in ninth place here five years ago, which is crazy because he was still in college playing as an amateur. He is a top-20 player in the field over his last 4-5 events in both ball striking and SGT2G and as always one of the Tour Level brand plays as always. Feel free to fire up in cash this week. Also, he hasn’t missed a cut since returning to the Tour.
  • Brandt Snedeker ($8,100) -- Course history play of the week is Brandt Snedeker. Brandt has won here twice out of his last five outings. He also has a fourth place finish here last year as well. Would love to see more out of his recent form, but even if he struggles T2G we can expect his short game to keep him in contention.

GPPs:The goal is to hone in on players that not many people will be focusing on this week. To win a GPP against 50,000 other entries, you need to diversify as much as possible and take risks with the golfers you choose.

  • Kevin Kisner ($8,200) -- Kisner won for the second time last year and came close quite a few other times. This Georgia Bulldog finished 10th here last year and hasn’t missed a cut all season. Just about no one will be on him this week, and with top 10 upside, he’s one you’ll surely want to take a long look at!
  • Chris Kirk ($7,100) -- An 11th-place finish last week Kirk has made three of four cuts on the new season with two top-15s. With his price so low, coupled with good recent form, decent course history and expected very low ownership, Kirk makes for a great GPP play with top 15 upside.

Not keen on Daily Fantasy Golf? Well Tour Level also offers some great betting and hedging strategies!  For those strategies and more, visit us at tourlevelfantasy.com!

About the author

Jason Rouslin - TourLevelFantasy.com

Jason Rouslin is founder of tourlevelfantasy.com. He has been playing golf for the 18 years and PLAYING golf for the last 5. The passion for the game led him to follow professional golf, which he has been writing about since 2015. Jason has earned top-10 player status under the RotoGrinders Ranking System. Hailing from Rhode Island, Jason now resides in Tampa Florida, just a short drive to Walt Disney World.

About Tour Level Fantasy: Where sports betting meets daily fantasy advice. Founded with one goal in mind: help people make money through betting or DFS golf. With actionable and tailored content, combined with fantastic tools, we give you everything you need to be profitable this golf season!