Each week, including this week's 2026 PGA Championship, Golf News Net offers PGA Tour betting picks and daily fantasy sports (DFS) lineups using our proprietary model, which is weighted toward longer-term performance.
Let's look at the top 10 players in this week's PGA Tour model.
2026 PGA Championship rankings: Top 10
| POS | PLAYER | PTS | DK PRICE | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler, Scottie | 3.199 | 13900 | 480 |
| 2 | DeChambeau, Bryson | 2.456 | 10900 | 2000 |
| 3 | McIlroy, Rory | 2.424 | 12400 | 860 |
| 4 | Schauffele, Xander | 2.105 | 10100 | 2100 |
| 5 | Reed, Patrick | 1.849 | 9000 | 7400 |
| 6 | Aberg, Ludvig | 1.706 | 9800 | 2200 |
| 7 | Rahm, Jon | 1.701 | 10400 | 1600 |
| 8 | Fleetwood, Tommy | 1.603 | 9700 | 2500 |
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| 9 | Henley, Russell | 1.583 | 8700 | 5500 |
| 10 | Fitzpatrick, Matt | 1.577 | 10000 | 2200 |
You can find this week's model right here, with full access for GNN members.
However, we don't just use our model when making these picks. We also need to look at current form, course fits and horses for courses. This data can and should help inform our decision making, including validating things we see in the model. If everything lines up, then a player can become an auto-play. If only some parts of the equation suggest a player will perform well this week, then we may look more tepidly at investing in a player.
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2026 PGA Championship history and current PGA Tour finish trends
Finish Trends
Recent PGA Tour Trends
We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five individual PGA Tour events. This week, we're including players in the PGA Tour fields this week.
- Aberg, Ludvig - 3 - T-5 Valero Texas Open, 4th RBC Heritage, T-8 Truist Championship
- Cantlay, Patrick - 3 - T-12 The Masters, T-8 RBC Heritage, T-10 Truist Championship
- Cole, Eric - 2 - T-14 Valero Texas Open, T-6 Myrtle Beach Classic
- Fitzpatrick, Alex - 3 - WIN Zurich Classic, T-9 Cadillac Championship, 4th Truist Championship
- Fleetwood, Tommy - 2- T-10 Valero Texas Open, T-5 Truist Championship
- Fowler, Rickie - 3 - T-8 RBC Heritage, T-9 Cadillac Championship, T-2 Truist Championship
- Kim, Si Woo - 3 - T-10 Valero Texas Open, 3rd RBC Heritage, T-4 Cadillac Championship
- Kitayama, Kurt - 2 - T-8 RBC Heritage, T-9 Cadillac Championship
- Koepka, Brooks - 2 - T-12 The Masters, T-11 Myrtle Beach Classic
- McCarty, Matt - 3 - T-12 RBC Heritage, T-9 Cadillac Championship, T-10 Truist Championship
- Morikawa, Collin - 2 - T-7 The Masters, T-4 RBC Heritage
- Reitan, Kristofffer - 3 - T-10 Valero Texas Open, T-14 Cadillac Championship, WIN Truist Championship
- Schauffele, Xander - 2 - T-9 Masters, T-12 RBC Heritage
- Scheffler, Scottie - 3 - 2nd Masters, P-2 RBC Heritage, 2nd Cadillac Championship
- Smalley, Alex - 2 - T-14 Valero Texas Open, T-7 Cadillac Championship
- Spaun, J.J. - 3 - WIN Valero Texas Open, T-13 Cadillac Championship, T-5 Truist Championship
- Taylor, Nick - 2- T-9 Cadillac Championship, T-14 Truist Championship
- Thompson, Davis - 2 - T-14 Valero Texas Open, T-13 Myrtle Beach Classic
- Young, Cam - 3 - T-3 The Masters, WIN Cadillac Championship, T-10 Truist Championship
Event Finish History
We like to look for potential horses for courses with most PGA Tour events, particularly those with regular host courses. We're typically looking at players who finished in the top 15 at the PGA Championship in the last five years.
We haven't seen Aronimink in a major in 64 years, so we don't have that.
Course Fits
A player is a course fit -- or a potential course fit, at least -- if their Strokes Gained breakout when they finish in the top 25 is similar to the average for top-25 finishers at this week's PGA Championship.
However, we haven't seen Aronimink in a long time, so we don't have that.
Find course fits using our member-only tool which shows this week's course numbers relative to the field.
I've also created a new listing which helps you find correlated courses by looking at the course fit breakdown for each recurring host course on the PGA Tour.
Good luck this week!
