2018 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup
PGA Tour

2018 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup




The 30-player 2018 Tour Championship field tees off on Thursday at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. All 30 players have a mathematical chance to win the FedEx Cup and its $10 million bounty.

Here's a look at the scenarios for each player in the field in order to take the FedEx Cup.

2018 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup

No. 1 Bryson DeChambeau
• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish
• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 2 Justin Rose
• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish
• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 3 Tony Finau
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 4 Dustin Johnson
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 5 Justin Thomas
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 6 Keegan Bradley
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-2 or worse
• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 7 Brooks Koepka
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 8 Bubba Watson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-2* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 9 Billy Horschel
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 10 Cameron Smith
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 11 Webb Simpson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 12 Jason Day
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 13 Francesco Molinari
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-7 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 14 Phil Mickelson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-8 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 15 Patrick Reed
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 9th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 16 Patrick Cantlay
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 9th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 17 Rory McIlroy
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 18 Xander Schauffele
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-11 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse

No. 19 Tommy Fleetwood
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-12 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 20 Tiger Woods
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 12th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 21 Aaron Wise
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 13th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 22 Kevin Na
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 23 Rickie Fowler
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 15th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 24 Jon Rahm
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 17th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 25 Kyle Stanley
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 19th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes 4th or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 26 Paul Casey
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 21st* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 6th* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes 4th* or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 27 Hideki Matsuyama
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 23rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 28 Gary Woodland
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 25th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 29 Marc Leishman
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 27th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 30 Patton Kizzire
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 29th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

About the author

Ryan Ballengee

Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. He is currently a +2.6 USGA handicap, and he talks about golf on various social platforms:

X or Twitter: https://twitter.com/ryanballengee
Facebook: https://facebook.com/ryanballengeegolf
Instagram: https://instagram.com/ryanballengee
YouTube: https://youtube.com/@ryanballengeegolf

Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com

Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. See more in GNN's affiliate disclosure.

Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 25)