2018 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup
PGA Tour

2018 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup


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The 30-player 2018 Tour Championship field tees off on Thursday at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. All 30 players have a mathematical chance to win the FedEx Cup and its $10 million bounty.

Here's a look at the scenarios for each player in the field in order to take the FedEx Cup.

2018 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup

No. 1 Bryson DeChambeau
• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish
• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 2 Justin Rose
• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish
• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning



No. 3 Tony Finau
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning


No. 4 Dustin Johnson
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 5 Justin Thomas
• If he wins the Tour Championship, he wins the Cup
• Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 6 Keegan Bradley
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-2 or worse
• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 7 Brooks Koepka
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 8 Bubba Watson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-2* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 9 Billy Horschel
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 10 Cameron Smith
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 11 Webb Simpson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 12 Jason Day
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 13 Francesco Molinari
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-7 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 14 Phil Mickelson
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-8 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 15 Patrick Reed
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 9th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-4* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 16 Patrick Cantlay
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 9th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 17 Rory McIlroy
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 18 Xander Schauffele
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-11 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse

No. 19 Tommy Fleetwood
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes T-12 or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 20 Tiger Woods
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 12th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 21 Aaron Wise
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 13th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 5th* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 22 Kevin Na
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 23 Rickie Fowler
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 15th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 24 Jon Rahm
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 17th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 25 Kyle Stanley
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 19th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes 4th or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 26 Paul Casey
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 21st* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes 6th* or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes 4th* or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 27 Hideki Matsuyama
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 23rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 28 Gary Woodland
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 25th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 29 Marc Leishman
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 27th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 30 Patton Kizzire
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Bryson DeChambeau) finishes 29th* or worse
• No. 2 (Justin Rose) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Tony Finau) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Justin Thomas) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Keegan Bradley) finishes T-2 or worse

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