2016 Portugal Masters fantasy golf picks, betting tips
European Tour Fantasy Golf & Golf Betting

2016 Portugal Masters fantasy golf picks, betting tips

Welcome back to Golf News Net’s weekly fantasy golf picks. Each week of the European Tour season, we’ll present our top picks for that week’s tournament and make recommendations for DraftKings’ one-week fantasy leagues.

The European Tour heads to Portugal with what might seem like a weak event at the Portugal Masters, but it boasts a solid young field, headed by defending champion Andy Sullivan. Alex Noren and Thomas Pieters lead the way, too.

Each week, we’ll provide our top 10 picks and analysis, with our GNN Plus subscribers getting access to our full top-10 picks, our searchable database of PGA Tour results from 2011-present, our top-15 finish chart and season-long trends on DraftKings valuations. They’ll be available at your disposal as part of a growing set of tools to help in your research.

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2016 Portugal Masters top 10 fantasy golf picks

1. Alex Noren — The best player in the field on the hottest run in the world.

2. Thomas Pieters — Pieters was amazing at the Ryder Cup, and he’s been on a roll of late on the European Tour.

3. Andy Sullivan — Sullivan is defending champion here. He didn’t play very well at the Ryder Cup, but he’s recovering and has an excellent all-around game.

4. Tommy Fleetwood — Fleetwood is playing the best, most consistent golf of his career. He’s edging into overpriced territory.

5. David Horsey — Horsey is locked in to some very solid golf, hanging around the top 15 like Fleetwood.

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6. Thongchai Jaidee — Jaidee is a wily veteran that should hang around the leaderboard in this event.

7. Renato Paratore — The 19-year-old is enjoying a brilliant season, doing well of late. He was T-22 at the British Masters, T-7 before that.

8. Florian Fritsch — Fritsch is still riding well on a pair of top-seven finishes at the European Open and Dunhill Links.

9. Scott Jamieson — Jamieson may be coming down off the height of his performance, but, in a weak field, he’s a bright spot.

10. Lucas Bjerregaard — This is a hunch, but the Dane has a pretty strong record in this event and venue, relatively speaking.

My DraftKings team for this week:

1. Tommy Fleetwood – $10,500

2. Florian Fritsch – $8,500

3. Renato Paratore – $7,900

4. Julien Quesne – $7,800

5. Scott Jamieson – $7,700

6. Graeme Storm – $7,200

Finish Trends

We start by looking at the recent past, back at players who have finished inside the top 15 in the last five European Tour events. Here are the players in this week’s field with the most top-15 finishes in the last five European Tour events:

  • Alejandro Canizares – 2 – T-4 KLM Open, T-7 Italian Open
  • Alex Noren – 2 – T-11 Dunhill Links, WIN British Masters
  • David Horsey – 4 – T-4 KLM Open, T-5 Italian Open, T-11 Dunhill Links, T-12 British Masters
  • Florian Fritsch – 2 – T-7 European Open, T-7 Dunhill Links
  • Scott Jamieson – 2 – T-10 KLM Open, T-7 Italian Open
  • Tommy Fleetwood – 5 – T-10 KLM Open, T-7 Italian Open, T-13 European Open, T-14 Dunhill Links, T-4 British Masters

We also want to look at players who have a good history in this tournament. So here are the players in the field with multiple top-15 finishes in the Portugal Masters in the last two years at this venue, Victoria Clube de Golfe:

Lucas Bjerregaard – 2

Ideally, we want to find players who are both playing well now and have a history of playing well at this championship. Our guys: NONE

Salary Trends

DraftKings salaries change from week to week, depending on field strength and size, as well a player’s recent record and their history on a course. It’s in looking at how a salary changes over time that we might get some clues as to players that could be a little overrated or underrated.

We’re looking here at the players who are salaried at $1,500 or more than their season average:

  • Thomas Pieters
  • Joakim Lagergren
  • Marc Warren
  • Florian Fritsch
  • Peter Hanson
  • Alexander Noren
  • Stephen Gallacher
  • Anthony Wall
  • Tommy Fleetwood

Here are players who have multiple top 15s in the last five European Tour (specific) events who are playing less than $500 above their average salary this week:

  • Alejandro Canizares – $122 BELOW
  • Florian Fritsch

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