Tour Championship scenarios to win the 2014 FedEx Cup
PGA Tour

Tour Championship scenarios to win the 2014 FedEx Cup

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The 29-player Tour Championship field tees off on Thursday at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. All of them have a mathematical chance to win the FedEx Cup and its $10 million bounty. Here's a look at what has to happen for each player in the field in order to take the FedEx Cup.

No. 1 Chris Kirk
• If he wins the TOUR Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish
• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 2 Billy Horschel
• If he wins the TOUR Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish
• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 3 Bubba Watson
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 4 Rory McIlroy
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 5 Hunter Mahan
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 6 Jimmy Walker
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-2 or worse
• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 7 Jim Furyk
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 8 Matt Kuchar
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-2* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 9 Rickie Fowler
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 10 Jason Day
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 11 Jordan Spieth
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 12 Adam Scott
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 13 Sergio Garcia
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-7 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 14 Martin Kaymer
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-8 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 15 Zach Johnson
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 9th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-4* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 16 Bill Haas
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 9th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 17 John Senden
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 18 Patrick Reed
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-11 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse

No. 19 Cameron Tringale
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes T-12 or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 20 Russell Henley
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 12th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 21 Morgan Hoffmann
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 13th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 5th* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 22 Webb Simpson
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse
No. 23 Ryan Palmer
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 15th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 24 Kevin Na
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 17th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 25 Geoff Ogilvy
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 19th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes 4th or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 26 Justin Rose
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 21st* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes 6th* or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes 4th* or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 27 Brendon Todd
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 23rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 28 Hideki Matsuyama
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 25th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 29 Gary Woodland
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Chris Kirk) finishes 27th* or worse
• No. 2 (Billy Horschel) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Bubba Watson) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Hunter Mahan) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Jimmy Walker) finishes T-2 or worse

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Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. He is a scratch golfer...sometimes.

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