2016 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup
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2016 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup

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The 30-player 2016 Tour Championship field tees off on Thursday at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. All 30 players have a mathematical chance to win the FedEx Cup and its $10 million bounty.

Here's a look at the scenarios for each player in the field in order to take the FedEx Cup.


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2016 FedEx Cup: Tour Championship scenarios to win the FedEx Cup

No. 1 Dustin Johnson
• If he wins the TOUR Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish
• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 2 Patrick Reed
• If he wins the TOUR Championship he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish
• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 3 Adam Scott
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 4 Jason Day
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd-place finish
• Can finish as low as T-3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 5 Paul Casey
• If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the Cup
• Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 6 Rory McIlroy
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-2 or worse
• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning

No. 7 Jordan Spieth
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 8 Russell Knox
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-2* or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 9 Emiliano Grillo
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 10 Jimmy Walker
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-2 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes 2nd* or worse

No. 11 Brandt Snedeker
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 12 Justin Thomas
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 13 Phil Mickelson
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-7 or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 14 Ryan Moore
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-8 or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 15 Kevin Chappell
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 9th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-4* or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 16 Matt Kuchar
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 9th or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 17 Hideki Matsuyama
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 18 Si Woo Kim
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-11 or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse

No. 19 Kevin Kisner
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes T-12 or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 20 Gary Woodland
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 12th or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 3rd or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 21 Roberto Castro
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 13th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes 5th* or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes 3rd* or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 22 Kevin Na
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 23 William McGirt
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 15th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-5 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 24 Bubba Watson
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 17th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 25 Sean O'Hair
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 19th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes in a three-way tie for 5th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes 4th or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 26 Daniel Berger
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 21st* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes 6th* or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes 4th* or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 27 Jason Dufner
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 23rd* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 28 J.B. Holmes
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 25th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes T-6 or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 29 Jhonattan Vegas
• Wins the TOUR Championship
And ...
• No. 1 (Dustin Johnson) finishes 27th* or worse
• No. 2 (Patrick Reed) finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 (Adam Scott) finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 (Jason Day) finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 (Paul Casey) finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 (Rory McIlroy) finishes T-2 or worse

No. 30 Charl Schwartzel
• Wins the Tour Championship
And ...
• No. 1 finishes 29th* or worse
• No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
• No. 3 finishes T-4 or worse
• No. 4 finishes T-3 or worse
• No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
• No. 6 finishes T-2 or worse

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